Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles show high pressure building over the Western Cape, promoting clear skies and light southerly winds for August 31 that favor modest daytime warming to a peak near 16–17 °C. This consensus aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, where traders weigh minor differences in forecast timing of maximum insolation, wind-driven mixing, and boundary-layer moisture. Late-winter climatology for Cape Town places average highs near 17 °C, so current conditions reflect typical rather than anomalous patterns. Updated model runs and official observations on the 30th–31st will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum at standard stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée au Cap le 31 août ?
17°C 34%
18°C 27%
19°C 14%
16°C 11%
12°C ou moins
3%
13°C
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
10%
17°C
34%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
10%
21°C
4%
22°C ou plus
<1%
17°C 34%
18°C 27%
19°C 14%
16°C 11%
12°C ou moins
3%
13°C
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
10%
17°C
34%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
10%
21°C
4%
22°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles show high pressure building over the Western Cape, promoting clear skies and light southerly winds for August 31 that favor modest daytime warming to a peak near 16–17 °C. This consensus aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, where traders weigh minor differences in forecast timing of maximum insolation, wind-driven mixing, and boundary-layer moisture. Late-winter climatology for Cape Town places average highs near 17 °C, so current conditions reflect typical rather than anomalous patterns. Updated model runs and official observations on the 30th–31st will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum at standard stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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