Recent official forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate mainly fine conditions for Wellington on August 29 with northwesterly winds and a maximum of 14°C under clearing skies following Friday’s strong northerlies and rain. This setup favors modest daytime warming from solar insolation, positioning 15°C as the leading market outcome at 57.5% implied probability, while 14°C (21.5%) and 16°C (19.5%) reflect remaining model spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength. Winter climatology for the region supports highs near 14–15°C during such transitional flows, with traders weighting the latest guidance showing limited potential for outliers above 16°C given the post-storm stabilization.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 29 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 29 août ?
15°C 57%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
17°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$19,834 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$19,834 Vol.
29 août 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
22%
15°C
57%
16°C
20%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 57%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
17°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$19,834 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$19,834 Vol.
29 août 2026
9°C or below
$212 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,113 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$769 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,950 Vol.
22%
15°C
$4,057 Vol.
57%
16°C
$3,094 Vol.
20%
17°C
$2,393 Vol.
5%
18°C
$2,278 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$196 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate mainly fine conditions for Wellington on August 29 with northwesterly winds and a maximum of 14°C under clearing skies following Friday’s strong northerlies and rain. This setup favors modest daytime warming from solar insolation, positioning 15°C as the leading market outcome at 57.5% implied probability, while 14°C (21.5%) and 16°C (19.5%) reflect remaining model spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength. Winter climatology for the region supports highs near 14–15°C during such transitional flows, with traders weighting the latest guidance showing limited potential for outliers above 16°C given the post-storm stabilization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$19,834Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate mainly fine conditions for Wellington on August 29 with northwesterly winds and a maximum of 14°C under clearing skies following Friday’s strong northerlies and rain. This setup favors modest daytime warming from solar insolation, positioning 15°C as the leading market outcome at 57.5% implied probability, while 14°C (21.5%) and 16°C (19.5%) reflect remaining model spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength. Winter climatology for the region supports highs near 14–15°C during such transitional flows, with traders weighting the latest guidance showing limited potential for outliers above 16°C given the post-storm stabilization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,834Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate mainly fine conditions for Wellington on August 29 with northwesterly winds and a maximum of 14°C under clearing skies following Friday’s strong northerlies and rain. This setup favors modest daytime warming from solar insolation, positioning 15°C as the leading market outcome at 57.5% implied probability, while 14°C (21.5%) and 16°C (19.5%) reflect remaining model spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength. Winter climatology for the region supports highs near 14–15°C during such transitional flows, with traders weighting the latest guidance showing limited potential for outliers above 16°C given the post-storm stabilization.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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