Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on August 29, matching the seasonal normal of 56°F and aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 56-57°F range. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical overnight stability without significant radiative cooling or warming influences. This outcome reflects standard late-summer climatology for the region, where the daily low rarely deviates far from the long-term average absent unusual synoptic patterns. Potential challenges include rare post-publication data revisions or resolution criteria tied to a non-airport station, though such shifts remain improbable given the finalized climatological report.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à San Francisco le 29 août ?
La température la plus basse à San Francisco le 29 août ?
56-57°F 100.0%
49°F ou moins <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$2,127 Vol.
$2,127 Vol.
29 août 2026
49°F ou moins
Non
50-51°F
Non
52-53°F
Non
54-55°F
Non
56-57°F
Oui
58-59°F
Non
60-61 °F
Non
62-63°F
Non
64-65°F
Non
66-67 °F
Non
68°F ou plus
Non
56-57°F 100.0%
49°F ou moins <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$2,127 Vol.
$2,127 Vol.
29 août 2026
49°F ou moins
$129 Vol.
Non
50-51°F
$121 Vol.
Non
52-53°F
$71 Vol.
Non
54-55°F
$52 Vol.
Non
56-57°F
$897 Vol.
Oui
58-59°F
$200 Vol.
Non
60-61 °F
$167 Vol.
Non
62-63°F
$103 Vol.
Non
64-65°F
$45 Vol.
Non
66-67 °F
$297 Vol.
Non
68°F ou plus
$45 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on August 29, matching the seasonal normal of 56°F and aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 56-57°F range. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical overnight stability without significant radiative cooling or warming influences. This outcome reflects standard late-summer climatology for the region, where the daily low rarely deviates far from the long-term average absent unusual synoptic patterns. Potential challenges include rare post-publication data revisions or resolution criteria tied to a non-airport station, though such shifts remain improbable given the finalized climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,127Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on August 29, matching the seasonal normal of 56°F and aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 56-57°F range. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical overnight stability without significant radiative cooling or warming influences. This outcome reflects standard late-summer climatology for the region, where the daily low rarely deviates far from the long-term average absent unusual synoptic patterns. Potential challenges include rare post-publication data revisions or resolution criteria tied to a non-airport station, though such shifts remain improbable given the finalized climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,127Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on August 29, matching the seasonal normal of 56°F and aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 56-57°F range. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical overnight stability without significant radiative cooling or warming influences. This outcome reflects standard late-summer climatology for the region, where the daily low rarely deviates far from the long-term average absent unusual synoptic patterns. Potential challenges include rare post-publication data revisions or resolution criteria tied to a non-airport station, though such shifts remain improbable given the finalized climatological report.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 56 et 57°F le 30 août ?
41%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 56 et 57 °F le 31 août ?
34%
Oui
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 68 et 69°F le 30 août ?
46%
Oui
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