Recent model consensus from global ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Buenos Aires on September 1, driven by light southerly winds, increasing high clouds, and surface high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. The spread across outcomes from 6°C or below to 9°C+ reflects typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing within 48 hours of the event, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated ECMWF/GFS runs expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical September minima average near 9°C, providing context for the current market-implied distribution centered on single-digit values.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Buenos Aires le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Buenos Aires le 1er septembre ?
6°C ou moins 34%
8°C 28%
7°C 25%
9°C 25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
34%
7°C
25%
8°C
28%
9°C
25%
10°C
25%
11°C
24%
12°C
18%
13°C
5%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C ou plus
1%
6°C ou moins 34%
8°C 28%
7°C 25%
9°C 25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
$30 Vol.
34%
7°C
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
28%
9°C
$0 Vol.
25%
10°C
$0 Vol.
25%
11°C
$0 Vol.
24%
12°C
$5 Vol.
18%
13°C
$15 Vol.
5%
14°C
$70 Vol.
1%
15°C
$5 Vol.
1%
16°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Buenos Aires on September 1, driven by light southerly winds, increasing high clouds, and surface high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. The spread across outcomes from 6°C or below to 9°C+ reflects typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing within 48 hours of the event, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated ECMWF/GFS runs expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical September minima average near 9°C, providing context for the current market-implied distribution centered on single-digit values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$125Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Buenos Aires on September 1, driven by light southerly winds, increasing high clouds, and surface high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. The spread across outcomes from 6°C or below to 9°C+ reflects typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing within 48 hours of the event, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated ECMWF/GFS runs expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical September minima average near 9°C, providing context for the current market-implied distribution centered on single-digit values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$125Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from global ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Buenos Aires on September 1, driven by light southerly winds, increasing high clouds, and surface high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. The spread across outcomes from 6°C or below to 9°C+ reflects typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing within 48 hours of the event, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated ECMWF/GFS runs expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical September minima average near 9°C, providing context for the current market-implied distribution centered on single-digit values.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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