Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance place Seattle's September 1 high in the low to mid-70s, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 70-75°F implied probabilities. A weakening upper-level ridge and approaching warm front support partly sunny conditions with light southerly winds, while marine layer influence and increasing afternoon cloud cover limit stronger warming. Historical September 1 averages near 74°F provide context, yet short-term model spread on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow outcome distribution traders are pricing. Updated NWS discussions and next model runs will refine whether the peak exceeds 73°F or remains cooler.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Seattle le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Seattle le 1er septembre ?
74-75°F 31%
72-73°F 25%
70-71 °F 24%
68-69 °F 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
63°F ou moins
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69 °F
11%
70-71 °F
25%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
31%
76-77 °F
9%
78-79 °F
3%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F ou plus
2%
74-75°F 31%
72-73°F 25%
70-71 °F 24%
68-69 °F 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
63°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$35 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$77 Vol.
3%
68-69 °F
$0 Vol.
11%
70-71 °F
$10 Vol.
25%
72-73°F
$141 Vol.
25%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
31%
76-77 °F
$0 Vol.
9%
78-79 °F
$0 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
82°F ou plus
$7 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance place Seattle's September 1 high in the low to mid-70s, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 70-75°F implied probabilities. A weakening upper-level ridge and approaching warm front support partly sunny conditions with light southerly winds, while marine layer influence and increasing afternoon cloud cover limit stronger warming. Historical September 1 averages near 74°F provide context, yet short-term model spread on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow outcome distribution traders are pricing. Updated NWS discussions and next model runs will refine whether the peak exceeds 73°F or remains cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Volume
$270Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance place Seattle's September 1 high in the low to mid-70s, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 70-75°F implied probabilities. A weakening upper-level ridge and approaching warm front support partly sunny conditions with light southerly winds, while marine layer influence and increasing afternoon cloud cover limit stronger warming. Historical September 1 averages near 74°F provide context, yet short-term model spread on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow outcome distribution traders are pricing. Updated NWS discussions and next model runs will refine whether the peak exceeds 73°F or remains cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$270Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance place Seattle's September 1 high in the low to mid-70s, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 70-75°F implied probabilities. A weakening upper-level ridge and approaching warm front support partly sunny conditions with light southerly winds, while marine layer influence and increasing afternoon cloud cover limit stronger warming. Historical September 1 averages near 74°F provide context, yet short-term model spread on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow outcome distribution traders are pricing. Updated NWS discussions and next model runs will refine whether the peak exceeds 73°F or remains cooler.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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