**Forecast model spreads and limited overnight radiative cooling under cloudy, humid conditions with possible showers are keeping the lowest temperature on September 1 in Toronto uncertain within a narrow band around 17–22 °C.** Official Environment Canada guidance and recent model runs indicate a mild southerly flow supporting daytime highs near 28–29 °C, while nocturnal lows depend on the timing of any precipitation, cloud cover, and light winds that reduce cooling. Historical climatology shows a September 1 average low of 16.1 °C, but current conditions reflect a warmer-than-normal late-summer pattern with elevated dew points limiting temperature drops. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 17–22 °C outcomes reflects this genuine short-range forecast uncertainty, with new model updates and official briefings expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Toronto le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Toronto le 1er septembre ?
18°C 49%
21°C 49%
23°C 49%
24°C ou plus 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
7%
15°C
19%
16°C
14%
17°C
25%
18°C
49%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
49%
22°C
25%
23°C
49%
24°C ou plus
49%
18°C 49%
21°C 49%
23°C 49%
24°C ou plus 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
7%
15°C
$5 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
14%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model spreads and limited overnight radiative cooling under cloudy, humid conditions with possible showers are keeping the lowest temperature on September 1 in Toronto uncertain within a narrow band around 17–22 °C.** Official Environment Canada guidance and recent model runs indicate a mild southerly flow supporting daytime highs near 28–29 °C, while nocturnal lows depend on the timing of any precipitation, cloud cover, and light winds that reduce cooling. Historical climatology shows a September 1 average low of 16.1 °C, but current conditions reflect a warmer-than-normal late-summer pattern with elevated dew points limiting temperature drops. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 17–22 °C outcomes reflects this genuine short-range forecast uncertainty, with new model updates and official briefings expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$20Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model spreads and limited overnight radiative cooling under cloudy, humid conditions with possible showers are keeping the lowest temperature on September 1 in Toronto uncertain within a narrow band around 17–22 °C.** Official Environment Canada guidance and recent model runs indicate a mild southerly flow supporting daytime highs near 28–29 °C, while nocturnal lows depend on the timing of any precipitation, cloud cover, and light winds that reduce cooling. Historical climatology shows a September 1 average low of 16.1 °C, but current conditions reflect a warmer-than-normal late-summer pattern with elevated dew points limiting temperature drops. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 17–22 °C outcomes reflects this genuine short-range forecast uncertainty, with new model updates and official briefings expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model spreads and limited overnight radiative cooling under cloudy, humid conditions with possible showers are keeping the lowest temperature on September 1 in Toronto uncertain within a narrow band around 17–22 °C.** Official Environment Canada guidance and recent model runs indicate a mild southerly flow supporting daytime highs near 28–29 °C, while nocturnal lows depend on the timing of any precipitation, cloud cover, and light winds that reduce cooling. Historical climatology shows a September 1 average low of 16.1 °C, but current conditions reflect a warmer-than-normal late-summer pattern with elevated dew points limiting temperature drops. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 17–22 °C outcomes reflects this genuine short-range forecast uncertainty, with new model updates and official briefings expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes