Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a highest temperature near 29–31 °C for Tokyo on August 31, driven by mostly cloudy skies, 25–30 % rain probability, and moderate easterly flow that limits full solar heating after a cooler, rain-soaked weekend. Diurnal warming under partial cloud cover, combined with urban heat-island effects and typical late-summer humidity near 70 %, favors a peak in this narrow range rather than higher values that would require clearer conditions. Short-range model consensus and the two-day lead time keep probabilities tightly clustered around 29–30 °C, with only modest shifts expected from the next official guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 31 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 31 août ?
29°C 31%
30°C 31%
31°C 15%
28°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
12%
29°C
31%
30°C
31%
31°C
15%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 31%
30°C 31%
31°C 15%
28°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
25°C or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$115 Vol.
2%
27°C
$100 Vol.
5%
28°C
$96 Vol.
12%
29°C
$181 Vol.
31%
30°C
$174 Vol.
31%
31°C
$50 Vol.
15%
32°C
$44 Vol.
9%
33°C
$25 Vol.
4%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a highest temperature near 29–31 °C for Tokyo on August 31, driven by mostly cloudy skies, 25–30 % rain probability, and moderate easterly flow that limits full solar heating after a cooler, rain-soaked weekend. Diurnal warming under partial cloud cover, combined with urban heat-island effects and typical late-summer humidity near 70 %, favors a peak in this narrow range rather than higher values that would require clearer conditions. Short-range model consensus and the two-day lead time keep probabilities tightly clustered around 29–30 °C, with only modest shifts expected from the next official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$825Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a highest temperature near 29–31 °C for Tokyo on August 31, driven by mostly cloudy skies, 25–30 % rain probability, and moderate easterly flow that limits full solar heating after a cooler, rain-soaked weekend. Diurnal warming under partial cloud cover, combined with urban heat-island effects and typical late-summer humidity near 70 %, favors a peak in this narrow range rather than higher values that would require clearer conditions. Short-range model consensus and the two-day lead time keep probabilities tightly clustered around 29–30 °C, with only modest shifts expected from the next official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$825Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a highest temperature near 29–31 °C for Tokyo on August 31, driven by mostly cloudy skies, 25–30 % rain probability, and moderate easterly flow that limits full solar heating after a cooler, rain-soaked weekend. Diurnal warming under partial cloud cover, combined with urban heat-island effects and typical late-summer humidity near 70 %, favors a peak in this narrow range rather than higher values that would require clearer conditions. Short-range model consensus and the two-day lead time keep probabilities tightly clustered around 29–30 °C, with only modest shifts expected from the next official guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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