Forecasts from multiple sources indicate a high in the upper 80s°F for Chicago on August 30, 2026, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer, moist air ahead of a weak front, with partly to mostly cloudy skies limiting full solar heating and possible morning showers. This setup aligns with the market's tight clustering around 84–87°F outcomes, where modest differences in model guidance on cloud cover, wind gusts up to 25 mph, and any afternoon convection create the observed uncertainty between those bins. Historical late-August averages near 81°F provide context, but current pattern support keeps extremes below 90°F unlikely without a stronger warm-air surge. Updated NWS and model runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chicago le 30 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chicago le 30 août ?
84-85°F 27%
86-87°F 26%
82-83 °F 18%
88-89°F 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
77°F ou moins
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
5%
82-83 °F
18%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
16%
90-91 °F
4%
92-93°F
3%
94-95 °F
<1%
96°F ou plus
<1%
84-85°F 27%
86-87°F 26%
82-83 °F 18%
88-89°F 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
77°F ou moins
$127 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$149 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$156 Vol.
5%
82-83 °F
$381 Vol.
18%
84-85°F
$140 Vol.
27%
86-87°F
$234 Vol.
26%
88-89°F
$832 Vol.
16%
90-91 °F
$187 Vol.
4%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
3%
94-95 °F
$0 Vol.
<1%
96°F ou plus
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple sources indicate a high in the upper 80s°F for Chicago on August 30, 2026, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer, moist air ahead of a weak front, with partly to mostly cloudy skies limiting full solar heating and possible morning showers. This setup aligns with the market's tight clustering around 84–87°F outcomes, where modest differences in model guidance on cloud cover, wind gusts up to 25 mph, and any afternoon convection create the observed uncertainty between those bins. Historical late-August averages near 81°F provide context, but current pattern support keeps extremes below 90°F unlikely without a stronger warm-air surge. Updated NWS and model runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,559Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple sources indicate a high in the upper 80s°F for Chicago on August 30, 2026, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer, moist air ahead of a weak front, with partly to mostly cloudy skies limiting full solar heating and possible morning showers. This setup aligns with the market's tight clustering around 84–87°F outcomes, where modest differences in model guidance on cloud cover, wind gusts up to 25 mph, and any afternoon convection create the observed uncertainty between those bins. Historical late-August averages near 81°F provide context, but current pattern support keeps extremes below 90°F unlikely without a stronger warm-air surge. Updated NWS and model runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,559Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple sources indicate a high in the upper 80s°F for Chicago on August 30, 2026, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer, moist air ahead of a weak front, with partly to mostly cloudy skies limiting full solar heating and possible morning showers. This setup aligns with the market's tight clustering around 84–87°F outcomes, where modest differences in model guidance on cloud cover, wind gusts up to 25 mph, and any afternoon convection create the observed uncertainty between those bins. Historical late-August averages near 81°F provide context, but current pattern support keeps extremes below 90°F unlikely without a stronger warm-air surge. Updated NWS and model runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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