National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs currently favor a peak near 95–96°F at Houston’s official station on August 30 under mostly sunny skies, light southeast flow, and minimal early cloud cover. This places the 96–97°F and 94–95°F bins in close contention at roughly 75% combined market-implied probability. High surface dew points near 75°F will sustain elevated heat indices above 105°F, but any earlier or more widespread afternoon convection could trim the maximum by 1–2°F through increased cloud shading. Persistent subtropical high pressure has kept recent daytime maxima several degrees above the late-August climatological average of about 92°F, with only modest day-to-day variability expected ahead of the next frontal passage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Houston le 30 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Houston le 30 août ?
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 36%
92-93°F 14%
98-99°F 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
83°F ou moins
<1%
84-85 °F
<1%
86-87 °F
<1%
88-89 °F
1%
90-91 °F
3%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
2%
102°F ou plus
1%
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 36%
92-93°F 14%
98-99°F 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
83°F ou moins
$258 Vol.
<1%
84-85 °F
$105 Vol.
<1%
86-87 °F
$78 Vol.
<1%
88-89 °F
$23 Vol.
1%
90-91 °F
$26 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$139 Vol.
14%
94-95°F
$476 Vol.
36%
96-97°F
$895 Vol.
41%
98-99°F
$328 Vol.
10%
100-101°F
$329 Vol.
2%
102°F ou plus
$75 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs currently favor a peak near 95–96°F at Houston’s official station on August 30 under mostly sunny skies, light southeast flow, and minimal early cloud cover. This places the 96–97°F and 94–95°F bins in close contention at roughly 75% combined market-implied probability. High surface dew points near 75°F will sustain elevated heat indices above 105°F, but any earlier or more widespread afternoon convection could trim the maximum by 1–2°F through increased cloud shading. Persistent subtropical high pressure has kept recent daytime maxima several degrees above the late-August climatological average of about 92°F, with only modest day-to-day variability expected ahead of the next frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,733Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs currently favor a peak near 95–96°F at Houston’s official station on August 30 under mostly sunny skies, light southeast flow, and minimal early cloud cover. This places the 96–97°F and 94–95°F bins in close contention at roughly 75% combined market-implied probability. High surface dew points near 75°F will sustain elevated heat indices above 105°F, but any earlier or more widespread afternoon convection could trim the maximum by 1–2°F through increased cloud shading. Persistent subtropical high pressure has kept recent daytime maxima several degrees above the late-August climatological average of about 92°F, with only modest day-to-day variability expected ahead of the next frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,733Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs currently favor a peak near 95–96°F at Houston’s official station on August 30 under mostly sunny skies, light southeast flow, and minimal early cloud cover. This places the 96–97°F and 94–95°F bins in close contention at roughly 75% combined market-implied probability. High surface dew points near 75°F will sustain elevated heat indices above 105°F, but any earlier or more widespread afternoon convection could trim the maximum by 1–2°F through increased cloud shading. Persistent subtropical high pressure has kept recent daytime maxima several degrees above the late-August climatological average of about 92°F, with only modest day-to-day variability expected ahead of the next frontal passage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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