Global seismic networks, including the USGS and international catalogs, recorded precisely 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide between August 31 and September 6, aligning with average weekly background rates derived from long-term monitoring of tectonic plate boundaries. This count reflects standard detection thresholds for shallow and intermediate-depth events in active zones like the Pacific Ring of Fire, with no major aftershock sequences or unusual clusters pushing totals higher. Trader consensus at 100% for 12 rests on verified observational data rather than models. Late catalog revisions, magnitude recalibrations from additional stations, or rare unreported events in remote oceanic areas could theoretically alter the final tally if thresholds or time windows shift during resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCombien de séismes de 5,5 ou plus dans le monde du 31 août au 6 septembre ?
Combien de séismes de 5,5 ou plus dans le monde du 31 août au 6 septembre ?
12 100.0%
≤6 <1%
7 <1%
8 <1%
$55,253 Vol.
$55,253 Vol.
7 sept. 2026
≤6
Non
7
Non
8
Non
9
Non
10
Non
11
Non
12
Oui
13
Non
plus de 13
Non
12 100.0%
≤6 <1%
7 <1%
8 <1%
$55,253 Vol.
$55,253 Vol.
7 sept. 2026
≤6
$10,757 Vol.
Non
7
$3,078 Vol.
Non
8
$1,604 Vol.
Non
9
$2,011 Vol.
Non
10
$3,646 Vol.
Non
11
$5,576 Vol.
Non
12
$10,454 Vol.
Oui
13
$7,662 Vol.
Non
plus de 13
$10,464 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic networks, including the USGS and international catalogs, recorded precisely 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide between August 31 and September 6, aligning with average weekly background rates derived from long-term monitoring of tectonic plate boundaries. This count reflects standard detection thresholds for shallow and intermediate-depth events in active zones like the Pacific Ring of Fire, with no major aftershock sequences or unusual clusters pushing totals higher. Trader consensus at 100% for 12 rests on verified observational data rather than models. Late catalog revisions, magnitude recalibrations from additional stations, or rare unreported events in remote oceanic areas could theoretically alter the final tally if thresholds or time windows shift during resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 11:01 AM ET
Volume
$55,253Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 11:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic networks, including the USGS and international catalogs, recorded precisely 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide between August 31 and September 6, aligning with average weekly background rates derived from long-term monitoring of tectonic plate boundaries. This count reflects standard detection thresholds for shallow and intermediate-depth events in active zones like the Pacific Ring of Fire, with no major aftershock sequences or unusual clusters pushing totals higher. Trader consensus at 100% for 12 rests on verified observational data rather than models. Late catalog revisions, magnitude recalibrations from additional stations, or rare unreported events in remote oceanic areas could theoretically alter the final tally if thresholds or time windows shift during resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$55,253Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 11:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Global seismic networks, including the USGS and international catalogs, recorded precisely 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide between August 31 and September 6, aligning with average weekly background rates derived from long-term monitoring of tectonic plate boundaries. This count reflects standard detection thresholds for shallow and intermediate-depth events in active zones like the Pacific Ring of Fire, with no major aftershock sequences or unusual clusters pushing totals higher. Trader consensus at 100% for 12 rests on verified observational data rather than models. Late catalog revisions, magnitude recalibrations from additional stations, or rare unreported events in remote oceanic areas could theoretically alter the final tally if thresholds or time windows shift during resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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