**Trader sentiment for Miami's highest temperature on August 27, 2026, centers on 90-91°F (52.5% implied probability) because official National Weather Service and private forecasts converge on a high near 89-90°F under typical late-summer conditions.** Persistent southeast flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favor scattered showers and thunderstorms that often cap daytime peaks in the lower 90s. Model guidance and NWS point forecasts (highs around 88-91°F with 40-50% storm chances) align closely with this bin, while historical August averages near 90-91°F provide additional context. Lower bins (88-89°F) receive secondary support if convection develops earlier or is more widespread, but current runs show no strong signal for significant cooling. Higher outcomes (92°F+) remain low-probability given the expected thunderstorm timing and lack of anomalous ridging. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24-48 hours, keeping the distribution stable ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 27 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Miami le 27 août ?
90-91°F 53%
88-89°F 23%
92-93°F 16%
86-87°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 août 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
23%
90-91°F
53%
92-93°F
16%
94-95 °F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98°F ou plus
1%
90-91°F 53%
88-89°F 23%
92-93°F 16%
86-87°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 août 2026
79°F or below
$165 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$265 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$63 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$80 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$340 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$80 Vol.
23%
90-91°F
$304 Vol.
53%
92-93°F
$79 Vol.
16%
94-95 °F
$90 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$82 Vol.
1%
98°F ou plus
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Miami's highest temperature on August 27, 2026, centers on 90-91°F (52.5% implied probability) because official National Weather Service and private forecasts converge on a high near 89-90°F under typical late-summer conditions.**
Persistent southeast flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favor scattered showers and thunderstorms that often cap daytime peaks in the lower 90s. Model guidance and NWS point forecasts (highs around 88-91°F with 40-50% storm chances) align closely with this bin, while historical August averages near 90-91°F provide additional context. Lower bins (88-89°F) receive secondary support if convection develops earlier or is more widespread, but current runs show no strong signal for significant cooling. Higher outcomes (92°F+) remain low-probability given the expected thunderstorm timing and lack of anomalous ridging. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24-48 hours, keeping the distribution stable ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,563Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Miami's highest temperature on August 27, 2026, centers on 90-91°F (52.5% implied probability) because official National Weather Service and private forecasts converge on a high near 89-90°F under typical late-summer conditions.**
Persistent southeast flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favor scattered showers and thunderstorms that often cap daytime peaks in the lower 90s. Model guidance and NWS point forecasts (highs around 88-91°F with 40-50% storm chances) align closely with this bin, while historical August averages near 90-91°F provide additional context. Lower bins (88-89°F) receive secondary support if convection develops earlier or is more widespread, but current runs show no strong signal for significant cooling. Higher outcomes (92°F+) remain low-probability given the expected thunderstorm timing and lack of anomalous ridging. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24-48 hours, keeping the distribution stable ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,563Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Miami's highest temperature on August 27, 2026, centers on 90-91°F (52.5% implied probability) because official National Weather Service and private forecasts converge on a high near 89-90°F under typical late-summer conditions.** Persistent southeast flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favor scattered showers and thunderstorms that often cap daytime peaks in the lower 90s. Model guidance and NWS point forecasts (highs around 88-91°F with 40-50% storm chances) align closely with this bin, while historical August averages near 90-91°F provide additional context. Lower bins (88-89°F) receive secondary support if convection develops earlier or is more widespread, but current runs show no strong signal for significant cooling. Higher outcomes (92°F+) remain low-probability given the expected thunderstorm timing and lack of anomalous ridging. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24-48 hours, keeping the distribution stable ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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