Recent atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin, including persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon and localized convective activity, are driving expectations for widespread showers or thunderstorms on August 28. Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and international models project a high near 31–33 °C, tempered by cloud cover that limits solar heating and evaporative cooling from rainfall. This setup creates substantial uncertainty in the precise daily maximum, as the timing, intensity, and coverage of precipitation can shift peak temperatures by several degrees. Historical late-August patterns show similar variability when monsoon remnants interact with regional topography, keeping trader-implied odds balanced across the narrow range of possible outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the peak value.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 28 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 28 août ?
25°C or below 100%
26°C 100%
27°C 100%
28°C 100%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
28 août 2026
25°C or below
100%
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C
100%
33°C
100%
34°C
100%
35°C or higher
100%
25°C or below 100%
26°C 100%
27°C 100%
28°C 100%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
28 août 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
26°C
$0 Vol.
100%
27°C
$0 Vol.
100%
28°C
$0 Vol.
100%
29°C
$0 Vol.
100%
30°C
$0 Vol.
100%
31°C
$0 Vol.
100%
32°C
$0 Vol.
100%
33°C
$0 Vol.
100%
34°C
$0 Vol.
100%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin, including persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon and localized convective activity, are driving expectations for widespread showers or thunderstorms on August 28. Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and international models project a high near 31–33 °C, tempered by cloud cover that limits solar heating and evaporative cooling from rainfall. This setup creates substantial uncertainty in the precise daily maximum, as the timing, intensity, and coverage of precipitation can shift peak temperatures by several degrees. Historical late-August patterns show similar variability when monsoon remnants interact with regional topography, keeping trader-implied odds balanced across the narrow range of possible outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the peak value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin, including persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon and localized convective activity, are driving expectations for widespread showers or thunderstorms on August 28. Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and international models project a high near 31–33 °C, tempered by cloud cover that limits solar heating and evaporative cooling from rainfall. This setup creates substantial uncertainty in the precise daily maximum, as the timing, intensity, and coverage of precipitation can shift peak temperatures by several degrees. Historical late-August patterns show similar variability when monsoon remnants interact with regional topography, keeping trader-implied odds balanced across the narrow range of possible outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the peak value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin, including persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon and localized convective activity, are driving expectations for widespread showers or thunderstorms on August 28. Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and international models project a high near 31–33 °C, tempered by cloud cover that limits solar heating and evaporative cooling from rainfall. This setup creates substantial uncertainty in the precise daily maximum, as the timing, intensity, and coverage of precipitation can shift peak temperatures by several degrees. Historical late-August patterns show similar variability when monsoon remnants interact with regional topography, keeping trader-implied odds balanced across the narrow range of possible outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the peak value.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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