Persistent high pressure and a heat dome over the southern Plains are sustaining extreme heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies, southwesterly flow, and afternoon highs of 104–107°F in Dallas on August 25. Recent days have already reached 106°F under similar conditions, pushing the 104–105°F bin to 45.5% implied probability as the consensus outcome. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime heating, while official measurements from Dallas-area stations will determine final resolution. Model guidance shows little day-to-day change, though any late-afternoon convection or slight wind shift could cap the peak below 106°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 25 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Dallas le 25 août ?
104-105°F 46%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 16%
100-101°F 5.5%
NOUVEAU
$10,929 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,929 Vol.
25 août 2026
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
46%
106-107°F
16%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 46%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 16%
100-101°F 5.5%
NOUVEAU
$10,929 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,929 Vol.
25 août 2026
99°F or below
$1,512 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$2,455 Vol.
6%
102-103°F
$2,375 Vol.
30%
104-105°F
$1,788 Vol.
46%
106-107°F
$925 Vol.
16%
108-109°F
$269 Vol.
3%
110-111°F
$662 Vol.
2%
112-113°F
$249 Vol.
<1%
114-115°F
$252 Vol.
<1%
116-117°F
$237 Vol.
<1%
118°F or higher
$205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a heat dome over the southern Plains are sustaining extreme heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies, southwesterly flow, and afternoon highs of 104–107°F in Dallas on August 25. Recent days have already reached 106°F under similar conditions, pushing the 104–105°F bin to 45.5% implied probability as the consensus outcome. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime heating, while official measurements from Dallas-area stations will determine final resolution. Model guidance shows little day-to-day change, though any late-afternoon convection or slight wind shift could cap the peak below 106°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$10,929Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a heat dome over the southern Plains are sustaining extreme heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies, southwesterly flow, and afternoon highs of 104–107°F in Dallas on August 25. Recent days have already reached 106°F under similar conditions, pushing the 104–105°F bin to 45.5% implied probability as the consensus outcome. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime heating, while official measurements from Dallas-area stations will determine final resolution. Model guidance shows little day-to-day change, though any late-afternoon convection or slight wind shift could cap the peak below 106°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,929Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and a heat dome over the southern Plains are sustaining extreme heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies, southwesterly flow, and afternoon highs of 104–107°F in Dallas on August 25. Recent days have already reached 106°F under similar conditions, pushing the 104–105°F bin to 45.5% implied probability as the consensus outcome. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime heating, while official measurements from Dallas-area stations will determine final resolution. Model guidance shows little day-to-day change, though any late-afternoon convection or slight wind shift could cap the peak below 106°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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