Persistent southerly flow and a broad trough over the South China Sea are sustaining high moisture, cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms across Hong Kong on August 26, limiting surface heating and keeping maximum temperatures near 30–31 °C according to official guidance. Frequent showers reduce incoming solar radiation while elevated humidity (75–95 %) enhances evaporative cooling, favoring the closely matched 30 °C (34.5 %) and 31 °C (32.5 %) outcomes. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in storm timing and intensity; stronger or earlier convection would cap readings at 30 °C, whereas brief clear intervals could allow brief warming to 31–32 °C. The Hong Kong Observatory’s next forecast update and latest high-resolution model runs will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 26 août ?
30°C 35%
31°C 33%
32°C 17%
29°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
12%
30°C
35%
31°C
33%
32°C
17%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 33%
32°C 17%
29°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
12%
30°C
35%
31°C
33%
32°C
17%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly flow and a broad trough over the South China Sea are sustaining high moisture, cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms across Hong Kong on August 26, limiting surface heating and keeping maximum temperatures near 30–31 °C according to official guidance. Frequent showers reduce incoming solar radiation while elevated humidity (75–95 %) enhances evaporative cooling, favoring the closely matched 30 °C (34.5 %) and 31 °C (32.5 %) outcomes. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in storm timing and intensity; stronger or earlier convection would cap readings at 30 °C, whereas brief clear intervals could allow brief warming to 31–32 °C. The Hong Kong Observatory’s next forecast update and latest high-resolution model runs will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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