Recent China Meteorological Administration and global model runs indicate a cooling trend into late August, with increased cloud cover, showers, and reduced insolation likely capping Shenzhen's August 26 maximum near 30–31 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 29.5 % and 27.5 % implied probabilities for those outcomes captures this uncertainty, as subtropical monsoon moisture and possible tropical influences can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C relative to clearer conditions. Historical Pearl River Delta August averages hover around 32 °C, yet current steering patterns favor more frequent convective activity that limits extreme heating. Updated CMA short-range guidance and ensemble spreads expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 26 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 26 août ?
30°C 30%
31°C 28%
32°C 19%
34°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
8%
29°C
11%
30°C
30%
31°C
28%
32°C
19%
33°C
14%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 30%
31°C 28%
32°C 19%
34°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$164 Vol.
6%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$24 Vol.
30%
31°C
$0 Vol.
28%
32°C
$15 Vol.
19%
33°C
$30 Vol.
14%
34°C
$5 Vol.
14%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration and global model runs indicate a cooling trend into late August, with increased cloud cover, showers, and reduced insolation likely capping Shenzhen's August 26 maximum near 30–31 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 29.5 % and 27.5 % implied probabilities for those outcomes captures this uncertainty, as subtropical monsoon moisture and possible tropical influences can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C relative to clearer conditions. Historical Pearl River Delta August averages hover around 32 °C, yet current steering patterns favor more frequent convective activity that limits extreme heating. Updated CMA short-range guidance and ensemble spreads expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$243Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration and global model runs indicate a cooling trend into late August, with increased cloud cover, showers, and reduced insolation likely capping Shenzhen's August 26 maximum near 30–31 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 29.5 % and 27.5 % implied probabilities for those outcomes captures this uncertainty, as subtropical monsoon moisture and possible tropical influences can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C relative to clearer conditions. Historical Pearl River Delta August averages hover around 32 °C, yet current steering patterns favor more frequent convective activity that limits extreme heating. Updated CMA short-range guidance and ensemble spreads expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$243Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent China Meteorological Administration and global model runs indicate a cooling trend into late August, with increased cloud cover, showers, and reduced insolation likely capping Shenzhen's August 26 maximum near 30–31 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 29.5 % and 27.5 % implied probabilities for those outcomes captures this uncertainty, as subtropical monsoon moisture and possible tropical influences can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C relative to clearer conditions. Historical Pearl River Delta August averages hover around 32 °C, yet current steering patterns favor more frequent convective activity that limits extreme heating. Updated CMA short-range guidance and ensemble spreads expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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