Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and Weather25 indicate Moscow's August 26 high will likely peak near 16°C amid increasing cloud cover and light drizzle, following highs around 20°C on the 24th and 18°C on the 25th. A cooling trend driven by a passing frontal system and reduced solar radiation under overcast skies is the main catalyst behind market-implied odds clustering tightly at 15–17°C. Model runs show limited disagreement on the daily maximum, with timing of any brief sun breaks or showers creating the narrow uncertainty reflected in trader positioning. Historical late-August baselines near 20–22°C underscore the atypical suppression this event. Updated ECMWF or Roshydromet guidance ahead of the date could shift exact resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 26 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 26 août ?
17°C 28%
16°C 27%
15°C 26%
18°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
26%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
14%
19°C
5%
20°C
6%
21°C or higher
2%
17°C 28%
16°C 27%
15°C 26%
18°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$5 Vol.
4%
14°C
$119 Vol.
5%
15°C
$3 Vol.
26%
16°C
$13 Vol.
27%
17°C
$7 Vol.
28%
18°C
$62 Vol.
14%
19°C
$0 Vol.
5%
20°C
$5 Vol.
6%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and Weather25 indicate Moscow's August 26 high will likely peak near 16°C amid increasing cloud cover and light drizzle, following highs around 20°C on the 24th and 18°C on the 25th. A cooling trend driven by a passing frontal system and reduced solar radiation under overcast skies is the main catalyst behind market-implied odds clustering tightly at 15–17°C. Model runs show limited disagreement on the daily maximum, with timing of any brief sun breaks or showers creating the narrow uncertainty reflected in trader positioning. Historical late-August baselines near 20–22°C underscore the atypical suppression this event. Updated ECMWF or Roshydromet guidance ahead of the date could shift exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$219Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and Weather25 indicate Moscow's August 26 high will likely peak near 16°C amid increasing cloud cover and light drizzle, following highs around 20°C on the 24th and 18°C on the 25th. A cooling trend driven by a passing frontal system and reduced solar radiation under overcast skies is the main catalyst behind market-implied odds clustering tightly at 15–17°C. Model runs show limited disagreement on the daily maximum, with timing of any brief sun breaks or showers creating the narrow uncertainty reflected in trader positioning. Historical late-August baselines near 20–22°C underscore the atypical suppression this event. Updated ECMWF or Roshydromet guidance ahead of the date could shift exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$219Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and Weather25 indicate Moscow's August 26 high will likely peak near 16°C amid increasing cloud cover and light drizzle, following highs around 20°C on the 24th and 18°C on the 25th. A cooling trend driven by a passing frontal system and reduced solar radiation under overcast skies is the main catalyst behind market-implied odds clustering tightly at 15–17°C. Model runs show limited disagreement on the daily maximum, with timing of any brief sun breaks or showers creating the narrow uncertainty reflected in trader positioning. Historical late-August baselines near 20–22°C underscore the atypical suppression this event. Updated ECMWF or Roshydromet guidance ahead of the date could shift exact resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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