Current official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting global models indicate a daytime maximum of 28–29 °C in Madrid on 26 August under partly cloudy skies, moderate southwest flow, and dry conditions. This places the highest probability on 29 °C, consistent with the market’s 54 % implied odds for that outcome and lower shares for 30 °C or 28 °C. The slightly below-normal reading relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 30.9 °C stems from a recent influx of milder Atlantic air following earlier summer warmth. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are closely tracking any late model runs or AEMET updates that could shift the exact peak by 1–2 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 26 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 26 août ?
29°C 54%
30°C 27%
28°C 18%
31°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$14,201 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,201 Vol.
26 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
18%
29°C
54%
30°C
27%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 54%
30°C 27%
28°C 18%
31°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$14,201 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,201 Vol.
26 août 2026
25°C or below
$548 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$753 Vol.
2%
28°C
$4,187 Vol.
18%
29°C
$1,385 Vol.
54%
30°C
$5,041 Vol.
27%
31°C
$762 Vol.
3%
32°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$308 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$213 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$482 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting global models indicate a daytime maximum of 28–29 °C in Madrid on 26 August under partly cloudy skies, moderate southwest flow, and dry conditions. This places the highest probability on 29 °C, consistent with the market’s 54 % implied odds for that outcome and lower shares for 30 °C or 28 °C. The slightly below-normal reading relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 30.9 °C stems from a recent influx of milder Atlantic air following earlier summer warmth. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are closely tracking any late model runs or AEMET updates that could shift the exact peak by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$14,201Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting global models indicate a daytime maximum of 28–29 °C in Madrid on 26 August under partly cloudy skies, moderate southwest flow, and dry conditions. This places the highest probability on 29 °C, consistent with the market’s 54 % implied odds for that outcome and lower shares for 30 °C or 28 °C. The slightly below-normal reading relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 30.9 °C stems from a recent influx of milder Atlantic air following earlier summer warmth. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are closely tracking any late model runs or AEMET updates that could shift the exact peak by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,201Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting global models indicate a daytime maximum of 28–29 °C in Madrid on 26 August under partly cloudy skies, moderate southwest flow, and dry conditions. This places the highest probability on 29 °C, consistent with the market’s 54 % implied odds for that outcome and lower shares for 30 °C or 28 °C. The slightly below-normal reading relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 30.9 °C stems from a recent influx of milder Atlantic air following earlier summer warmth. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are closely tracking any late model runs or AEMET updates that could shift the exact peak by 1–2 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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