Wellington's minimum temperature on August 28 hinges on overnight radiative cooling under northerly winds of 20–35 knots gusting higher, combined with variable cloud cover and light rain from a passing front. These conditions limit clear-sky heat loss while the city's coastal setting and strong advection from the Tasman Sea keep surface readings from dropping sharply below climatological August averages of 6–9 °C. Forecasters show the overnight low centering near 9–11 °C, yet small shifts in wind timing, dew-point depression, or residual cloud can easily move the recorded minimum by 1–3 °C—precisely the narrow band separating the market's closely matched 10 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C outcomes. Traders therefore price the tight spread as a reflection of genuine forecast uncertainty rather than any single model consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wellington le 28 août ?
La température la plus basse à Wellington le 28 août ?
10°C 91%
9°C 5.0%
11°C 2%
7°C ou moins <1%
$13,809 Vol.
$13,809 Vol.
28 août 2026
7°C ou moins
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
7%
10°C
91%
11°C
2%
12°C
47%
13°C
53%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C ou plus
<1%
10°C 91%
9°C 5.0%
11°C 2%
7°C ou moins <1%
$13,809 Vol.
$13,809 Vol.
28 août 2026
7°C ou moins
$587 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$192 Vol.
7%
10°C
$132 Vol.
91%
11°C
$194 Vol.
2%
12°C
$18 Vol.
47%
13°C
$1,904 Vol.
53%
14°C
$9,869 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
17°C ou plus
$249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's minimum temperature on August 28 hinges on overnight radiative cooling under northerly winds of 20–35 knots gusting higher, combined with variable cloud cover and light rain from a passing front. These conditions limit clear-sky heat loss while the city's coastal setting and strong advection from the Tasman Sea keep surface readings from dropping sharply below climatological August averages of 6–9 °C. Forecasters show the overnight low centering near 9–11 °C, yet small shifts in wind timing, dew-point depression, or residual cloud can easily move the recorded minimum by 1–3 °C—precisely the narrow band separating the market's closely matched 10 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C outcomes. Traders therefore price the tight spread as a reflection of genuine forecast uncertainty rather than any single model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$13,809Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's minimum temperature on August 28 hinges on overnight radiative cooling under northerly winds of 20–35 knots gusting higher, combined with variable cloud cover and light rain from a passing front. These conditions limit clear-sky heat loss while the city's coastal setting and strong advection from the Tasman Sea keep surface readings from dropping sharply below climatological August averages of 6–9 °C. Forecasters show the overnight low centering near 9–11 °C, yet small shifts in wind timing, dew-point depression, or residual cloud can easily move the recorded minimum by 1–3 °C—precisely the narrow band separating the market's closely matched 10 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C outcomes. Traders therefore price the tight spread as a reflection of genuine forecast uncertainty rather than any single model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,809Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington's minimum temperature on August 28 hinges on overnight radiative cooling under northerly winds of 20–35 knots gusting higher, combined with variable cloud cover and light rain from a passing front. These conditions limit clear-sky heat loss while the city's coastal setting and strong advection from the Tasman Sea keep surface readings from dropping sharply below climatological August averages of 6–9 °C. Forecasters show the overnight low centering near 9–11 °C, yet small shifts in wind timing, dew-point depression, or residual cloud can easily move the recorded minimum by 1–3 °C—precisely the narrow band separating the market's closely matched 10 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C outcomes. Traders therefore price the tight spread as a reflection of genuine forecast uncertainty rather than any single model consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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