Strong northwesterly flow across New Zealand has maintained above-average temperatures in Wellington, with recent observations and model consensus from MetService and international guidance pointing to a minimum of 9–10°C overnight into August 30. Clear to partly cloudy skies permit moderate radiative cooling under the prevailing mild advection, while wind speeds limit extreme drops. Historical August minima average near 8°C, but current conditions and short-range forecasts support the market’s emphasis on 10°C as the most probable outcome, with lower probabilities attached to 8°C or 7°C if localized cooling intensifies. Official station data expected shortly after the period will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Wellington le 30 août ?
8°C 83%
10°C 69%
7°C 60%
9°C 5%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
60%
8°C
83%
9°C
5%
10°C
69%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
8°C 83%
10°C 69%
7°C 60%
9°C 5%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
60%
8°C
83%
9°C
5%
10°C
69%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Strong northwesterly flow across New Zealand has maintained above-average temperatures in Wellington, with recent observations and model consensus from MetService and international guidance pointing to a minimum of 9–10°C overnight into August 30. Clear to partly cloudy skies permit moderate radiative cooling under the prevailing mild advection, while wind speeds limit extreme drops. Historical August minima average near 8°C, but current conditions and short-range forecasts support the market’s emphasis on 10°C as the most probable outcome, with lower probabilities attached to 8°C or 7°C if localized cooling intensifies. Official station data expected shortly after the period will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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