**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the 78-79°F bin (98.5% implied probability) for the highest temperature recorded at LaGuardia Airport on August 29, 2026.** Official National Weather Service observations confirm a daily maximum of 78°F reached in the afternoon under sunny skies, light northwest winds near 5 mph, and negligible precipitation. Multiple forecast models aligned closely on this range, consistent with late-August climatology where Central Park normals sit near 81°F but cooler boundary-layer conditions prevailed. The market’s tight positioning reflects real-time integration of NWS guidance, hourly observations, and the resolution source’s final reading, leaving minimal room for deviation. Only an unexpected post-observation revision—highly improbable given quality-control protocols—could shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à New York le 29 août ?
La température la plus élevée à New York le 29 août ?
78-79°F 99%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
69°F or below <1%
$41,944 Vol.
$41,944 Vol.
29 août 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
99%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 99%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
69°F or below <1%
$41,944 Vol.
$41,944 Vol.
29 août 2026
69°F or below
$226 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$236 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$418 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,698 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$10,891 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$10,894 Vol.
99%
80-81°F
$7,251 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,904 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$3,530 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$474 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$422 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the 78-79°F bin (98.5% implied probability) for the highest temperature recorded at LaGuardia Airport on August 29, 2026.** Official National Weather Service observations confirm a daily maximum of 78°F reached in the afternoon under sunny skies, light northwest winds near 5 mph, and negligible precipitation. Multiple forecast models aligned closely on this range, consistent with late-August climatology where Central Park normals sit near 81°F but cooler boundary-layer conditions prevailed. The market’s tight positioning reflects real-time integration of NWS guidance, hourly observations, and the resolution source’s final reading, leaving minimal room for deviation. Only an unexpected post-observation revision—highly improbable given quality-control protocols—could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$41,944Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the 78-79°F bin (98.5% implied probability) for the highest temperature recorded at LaGuardia Airport on August 29, 2026.** Official National Weather Service observations confirm a daily maximum of 78°F reached in the afternoon under sunny skies, light northwest winds near 5 mph, and negligible precipitation. Multiple forecast models aligned closely on this range, consistent with late-August climatology where Central Park normals sit near 81°F but cooler boundary-layer conditions prevailed. The market’s tight positioning reflects real-time integration of NWS guidance, hourly observations, and the resolution source’s final reading, leaving minimal room for deviation. Only an unexpected post-observation revision—highly improbable given quality-control protocols—could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,944Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the 78-79°F bin (98.5% implied probability) for the highest temperature recorded at LaGuardia Airport on August 29, 2026.** Official National Weather Service observations confirm a daily maximum of 78°F reached in the afternoon under sunny skies, light northwest winds near 5 mph, and negligible precipitation. Multiple forecast models aligned closely on this range, consistent with late-August climatology where Central Park normals sit near 81°F but cooler boundary-layer conditions prevailed. The market’s tight positioning reflects real-time integration of NWS guidance, hourly observations, and the resolution source’s final reading, leaving minimal room for deviation. Only an unexpected post-observation revision—highly improbable given quality-control protocols—could shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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