Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate a daytime high of 20–22°C in Moscow on August 29 under variable cloudiness, light south-easterly winds of 3–8 m/s, and possible scattered light rain, aligning with late-summer conditions near or slightly above climatological norms. This consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing peaks near 21–22°C without significant warm-air advection, underpins the market's 72% implied probability for 21°C and 21.5% for 22°C. Lower outcomes remain improbable absent unexpected cooling, while 23°C or higher carries minimal odds given the stable pressure field around 755 mmHg. Updated observations through midday will refine resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 29 août ?
21°C 76%
22°C 24%
23°C 2.8%
24°C or higher <1%
$29,705 Vol.
$29,705 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
76%
22°C
24%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 76%
22°C 24%
23°C 2.8%
24°C or higher <1%
$29,705 Vol.
$29,705 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
76%
22°C
24%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate a daytime high of 20–22°C in Moscow on August 29 under variable cloudiness, light south-easterly winds of 3–8 m/s, and possible scattered light rain, aligning with late-summer conditions near or slightly above climatological norms. This consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing peaks near 21–22°C without significant warm-air advection, underpins the market's 72% implied probability for 21°C and 21.5% for 22°C. Lower outcomes remain improbable absent unexpected cooling, while 23°C or higher carries minimal odds given the stable pressure field around 755 mmHg. Updated observations through midday will refine resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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