Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and models, including Yandex Pogoda and the Hydrometeorological Center, indicate a daytime high near 21°C for Moscow on August 30 amid variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and scattered showers. These conditions limit surface heating compared to clearer late-summer patterns, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 20–22°C outcomes (75.5% combined implied probability). Historical August averages hover around 20–23°C, but the current stable high-pressure setup and modest advection of milder air from the south reduce upside potential above 23°C. Updated model runs through the evening of August 29 show tight consensus, leaving little room for significant revision before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 30 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 30 août ?
21°C 37%
20°C 23%
22°C 18%
19°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
10%
20°C
23%
21°C
37%
22°C
18%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 37%
20°C 23%
22°C 18%
19°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
16°C or below
$150 Vol.
1%
17°C
$79 Vol.
2%
18°C
$129 Vol.
4%
19°C
$319 Vol.
10%
20°C
$607 Vol.
23%
21°C
$89 Vol.
37%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$38 Vol.
7%
24°C
$179 Vol.
2%
25°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and models, including Yandex Pogoda and the Hydrometeorological Center, indicate a daytime high near 21°C for Moscow on August 30 amid variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and scattered showers. These conditions limit surface heating compared to clearer late-summer patterns, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 20–22°C outcomes (75.5% combined implied probability). Historical August averages hover around 20–23°C, but the current stable high-pressure setup and modest advection of milder air from the south reduce upside potential above 23°C. Updated model runs through the evening of August 29 show tight consensus, leaving little room for significant revision before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,929Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and models, including Yandex Pogoda and the Hydrometeorological Center, indicate a daytime high near 21°C for Moscow on August 30 amid variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and scattered showers. These conditions limit surface heating compared to clearer late-summer patterns, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 20–22°C outcomes (75.5% combined implied probability). Historical August averages hover around 20–23°C, but the current stable high-pressure setup and modest advection of milder air from the south reduce upside potential above 23°C. Updated model runs through the evening of August 29 show tight consensus, leaving little room for significant revision before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,929Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and models, including Yandex Pogoda and the Hydrometeorological Center, indicate a daytime high near 21°C for Moscow on August 30 amid variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and scattered showers. These conditions limit surface heating compared to clearer late-summer patterns, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 20–22°C outcomes (75.5% combined implied probability). Historical August averages hover around 20–23°C, but the current stable high-pressure setup and modest advection of milder air from the south reduce upside potential above 23°C. Updated model runs through the evening of August 29 show tight consensus, leaving little room for significant revision before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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