**Forecast consensus from models including GFS and regional guidance points to a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under a weakening high-pressure regime with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds.** This setup follows cooler, showery conditions on August 29, allowing modest warming as clearer intervals develop, though increasing afternoon cloud cover and modest moisture advection limit further heating. Official IMGW outlooks for the Mazowieckie region cite maxima of 25–27°C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing and extent of cloud breaks versus solar heating. The near-even market split between 26°C and 27°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band in short-range model output and observed trends, while probabilities for 28°C or higher remain low given the modest thermal advection and lack of strong subsidence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 30 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 30 août ?
27°C 48%
26°C 37%
28°C 11%
25°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
5%
26°C
37%
27°C
48%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
26°C 37%
28°C 11%
25°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
21°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$48 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$348 Vol.
5%
26°C
$495 Vol.
37%
27°C
$808 Vol.
48%
28°C
$477 Vol.
11%
29°C
$176 Vol.
2%
30°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models including GFS and regional guidance points to a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under a weakening high-pressure regime with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds.**
This setup follows cooler, showery conditions on August 29, allowing modest warming as clearer intervals develop, though increasing afternoon cloud cover and modest moisture advection limit further heating. Official IMGW outlooks for the Mazowieckie region cite maxima of 25–27°C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing and extent of cloud breaks versus solar heating. The near-even market split between 26°C and 27°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band in short-range model output and observed trends, while probabilities for 28°C or higher remain low given the modest thermal advection and lack of strong subsidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,022Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models including GFS and regional guidance points to a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under a weakening high-pressure regime with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds.**
This setup follows cooler, showery conditions on August 29, allowing modest warming as clearer intervals develop, though increasing afternoon cloud cover and modest moisture advection limit further heating. Official IMGW outlooks for the Mazowieckie region cite maxima of 25–27°C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing and extent of cloud breaks versus solar heating. The near-even market split between 26°C and 27°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band in short-range model output and observed trends, while probabilities for 28°C or higher remain low given the modest thermal advection and lack of strong subsidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,022Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from models including GFS and regional guidance points to a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under a weakening high-pressure regime with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds.** This setup follows cooler, showery conditions on August 29, allowing modest warming as clearer intervals develop, though increasing afternoon cloud cover and modest moisture advection limit further heating. Official IMGW outlooks for the Mazowieckie region cite maxima of 25–27°C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing and extent of cloud breaks versus solar heating. The near-even market split between 26°C and 27°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band in short-range model output and observed trends, while probabilities for 28°C or higher remain low given the modest thermal advection and lack of strong subsidence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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