Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, GFS ensembles, and European centers indicate a moderating Atlantic frontal system arriving over central Poland on August 31, increasing cloud cover and shower chances to 30–60% by afternoon. This reduces surface solar insolation and limits diurnal heating compared to the clearer, warmer conditions expected on August 30. Resulting maximum temperatures are projected to peak near 24–27 °C under light southwesterly flow, with model spreads on shower timing and intensity creating the tight clustering of market probabilities around 25 °C, 26 °C, and 27 °C or higher. Official observations from IMGW will resolve the exact daily maximum once post-frontal clearing and wind shifts are confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 31 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 31 août ?
26°C 35%
25°C 31%
27°C or higher 29%
24°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
31%
26°C
35%
27°C or higher
29%
26°C 35%
25°C 31%
27°C or higher 29%
24°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
17°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$296 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$296 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$57 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
9%
25°C
$110 Vol.
31%
26°C
$25 Vol.
35%
27°C or higher
$479 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, GFS ensembles, and European centers indicate a moderating Atlantic frontal system arriving over central Poland on August 31, increasing cloud cover and shower chances to 30–60% by afternoon. This reduces surface solar insolation and limits diurnal heating compared to the clearer, warmer conditions expected on August 30. Resulting maximum temperatures are projected to peak near 24–27 °C under light southwesterly flow, with model spreads on shower timing and intensity creating the tight clustering of market probabilities around 25 °C, 26 °C, and 27 °C or higher. Official observations from IMGW will resolve the exact daily maximum once post-frontal clearing and wind shifts are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,654Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, GFS ensembles, and European centers indicate a moderating Atlantic frontal system arriving over central Poland on August 31, increasing cloud cover and shower chances to 30–60% by afternoon. This reduces surface solar insolation and limits diurnal heating compared to the clearer, warmer conditions expected on August 30. Resulting maximum temperatures are projected to peak near 24–27 °C under light southwesterly flow, with model spreads on shower timing and intensity creating the tight clustering of market probabilities around 25 °C, 26 °C, and 27 °C or higher. Official observations from IMGW will resolve the exact daily maximum once post-frontal clearing and wind shifts are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,654Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, GFS ensembles, and European centers indicate a moderating Atlantic frontal system arriving over central Poland on August 31, increasing cloud cover and shower chances to 30–60% by afternoon. This reduces surface solar insolation and limits diurnal heating compared to the clearer, warmer conditions expected on August 30. Resulting maximum temperatures are projected to peak near 24–27 °C under light southwesterly flow, with model spreads on shower timing and intensity creating the tight clustering of market probabilities around 25 °C, 26 °C, and 27 °C or higher. Official observations from IMGW will resolve the exact daily maximum once post-frontal clearing and wind shifts are confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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