**Trader sentiment centers on forecast model consensus for a mild overnight minimum around 64–67°F, driven by persistent cloud cover and southerly flow limiting radiative cooling.** Mostly cloudy skies trap longwave radiation, while 5–15 mph southwest winds promote boundary-layer mixing that prevents sharp temperature drops. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show lows near 66–70°F, with historical August 29 averages of 64.6°F providing context but recent warm advection pushing values higher. Key differentiating variables include exact cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and timing of any clearing, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°F across Chicago-area stations. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from primary reporting sites, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chicago le 29 août ?
La température la plus basse à Chicago le 29 août ?
74°F or higher 46%
60-61°F 27%
62-63°F 27%
64-65°F 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
55°F or below
20%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
5%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
3%
74°F or higher
46%
74°F or higher 46%
60-61°F 27%
62-63°F 27%
64-65°F 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
55°F or below
$147 Vol.
20%
56-57°F
$5 Vol.
22%
58-59°F
$24 Vol.
5%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
27%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
27%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
27%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
26%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
27%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
26%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
3%
74°F or higher
$27 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on forecast model consensus for a mild overnight minimum around 64–67°F, driven by persistent cloud cover and southerly flow limiting radiative cooling.** Mostly cloudy skies trap longwave radiation, while 5–15 mph southwest winds promote boundary-layer mixing that prevents sharp temperature drops. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show lows near 66–70°F, with historical August 29 averages of 64.6°F providing context but recent warm advection pushing values higher. Key differentiating variables include exact cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and timing of any clearing, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°F across Chicago-area stations. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from primary reporting sites, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$208Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on forecast model consensus for a mild overnight minimum around 64–67°F, driven by persistent cloud cover and southerly flow limiting radiative cooling.** Mostly cloudy skies trap longwave radiation, while 5–15 mph southwest winds promote boundary-layer mixing that prevents sharp temperature drops. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show lows near 66–70°F, with historical August 29 averages of 64.6°F providing context but recent warm advection pushing values higher. Key differentiating variables include exact cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and timing of any clearing, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°F across Chicago-area stations. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from primary reporting sites, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$208Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on forecast model consensus for a mild overnight minimum around 64–67°F, driven by persistent cloud cover and southerly flow limiting radiative cooling.** Mostly cloudy skies trap longwave radiation, while 5–15 mph southwest winds promote boundary-layer mixing that prevents sharp temperature drops. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show lows near 66–70°F, with historical August 29 averages of 64.6°F providing context but recent warm advection pushing values higher. Key differentiating variables include exact cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and timing of any clearing, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°F across Chicago-area stations. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from primary reporting sites, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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