Forecast models from agencies including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau indicate a high near 32°C for August 27, driven by northeast monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and 25–55% rain or thunderstorm chances that limit daytime heating. Recent runs show consistency with 31–33°C outcomes, aligning with the market’s 58.5% implied probability on 32°C and lower odds on 33°C or cooler readings. Subtropical late-summer conditions and potential cloud cover further support this range, while model spread on precipitation timing introduces modest uncertainty ahead of final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 27 août ?
32°C 59%
31°C 25%
33°C 15%
30°C 3%
$12,943 Vol.
$12,943 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
25%
32°C
59%
33°C
15%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
31°C 25%
33°C 15%
30°C 3%
$12,943 Vol.
$12,943 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
25%
32°C
59%
33°C
15%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau indicate a high near 32°C for August 27, driven by northeast monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and 25–55% rain or thunderstorm chances that limit daytime heating. Recent runs show consistency with 31–33°C outcomes, aligning with the market’s 58.5% implied probability on 32°C and lower odds on 33°C or cooler readings. Subtropical late-summer conditions and potential cloud cover further support this range, while model spread on precipitation timing introduces modest uncertainty ahead of final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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