Trader consensus centers on a 25°C peak (63.5% implied probability) for Mexico City on August 28, reflecting ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional that show daytime maxima of 22–26°C under persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 50–80%, and scattered thunderstorms driven by the Mexican monsoon and low-pressure channels. Afternoon convection typically limits insolation and caps temperatures near or slightly above seasonal averages of 24–26°C, with model runs converging on 23–25°C as the most probable range amid light northeasterly winds and 35–85% rain chances. Recent updates show no major shifts from these patterns, leaving lower outcomes like 24°C (20%) or 26°C (14.5%) as plausible depending on exact storm timing and local urban heat effects at the 2,240 m elevation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 28 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 28 août ?
25°C 64%
24°C 20%
26°C 14%
23°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
28 août 2026
19°C ou moins
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
20%
25°C
64%
26°C
14%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 64%
24°C 20%
26°C 14%
23°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
28 août 2026
19°C ou moins
$188 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$604 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$427 Vol.
3%
23°C
$448 Vol.
3%
24°C
$766 Vol.
20%
25°C
$2,714 Vol.
64%
26°C
$850 Vol.
14%
27°C
$413 Vol.
2%
28°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou plus
$301 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a 25°C peak (63.5% implied probability) for Mexico City on August 28, reflecting ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional that show daytime maxima of 22–26°C under persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 50–80%, and scattered thunderstorms driven by the Mexican monsoon and low-pressure channels. Afternoon convection typically limits insolation and caps temperatures near or slightly above seasonal averages of 24–26°C, with model runs converging on 23–25°C as the most probable range amid light northeasterly winds and 35–85% rain chances. Recent updates show no major shifts from these patterns, leaving lower outcomes like 24°C (20%) or 26°C (14.5%) as plausible depending on exact storm timing and local urban heat effects at the 2,240 m elevation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$7,263Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a 25°C peak (63.5% implied probability) for Mexico City on August 28, reflecting ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional that show daytime maxima of 22–26°C under persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 50–80%, and scattered thunderstorms driven by the Mexican monsoon and low-pressure channels. Afternoon convection typically limits insolation and caps temperatures near or slightly above seasonal averages of 24–26°C, with model runs converging on 23–25°C as the most probable range amid light northeasterly winds and 35–85% rain chances. Recent updates show no major shifts from these patterns, leaving lower outcomes like 24°C (20%) or 26°C (14.5%) as plausible depending on exact storm timing and local urban heat effects at the 2,240 m elevation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,263Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on a 25°C peak (63.5% implied probability) for Mexico City on August 28, reflecting ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional that show daytime maxima of 22–26°C under persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 50–80%, and scattered thunderstorms driven by the Mexican monsoon and low-pressure channels. Afternoon convection typically limits insolation and caps temperatures near or slightly above seasonal averages of 24–26°C, with model runs converging on 23–25°C as the most probable range amid light northeasterly winds and 35–85% rain chances. Recent updates show no major shifts from these patterns, leaving lower outcomes like 24°C (20%) or 26°C (14.5%) as plausible depending on exact storm timing and local urban heat effects at the 2,240 m elevation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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