Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a low near 27°C on August 30 driven by northerly winds and rain from typhoon outer-band influences, which advect cooler air masses and increase cloud cover that limits daytime heating while supporting modest overnight cooling. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS and ECMWF analogs) converge on lows of 25–27°C amid 60–70% rain probability, though some runs project 22–24°C if stronger advection occurs. Trader consensus at 57% for 27°C and 39% for 22°C or below reflects this model spread and resolution criteria around the daily minimum observation, with lower probabilities for extremes above 29°C given the established cooling trend. Updated model runs and local station data tomorrow morning will further refine these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wuhan le 30 août ?
La température la plus basse à Wuhan le 30 août ?
22°C or below 87%
27°C 57%
29°C 49%
26°C 44%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
22°C or below
87%
23°C
30%
24°C
30%
25°C
34%
26°C
44%
27°C
57%
28°C
15%
29°C
49%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
7%
22°C or below 87%
27°C 57%
29°C 49%
26°C 44%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
87%
23°C
$14 Vol.
30%
24°C
$0 Vol.
30%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
44%
27°C
$20 Vol.
57%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$5 Vol.
8%
31°C
$5 Vol.
8%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a low near 27°C on August 30 driven by northerly winds and rain from typhoon outer-band influences, which advect cooler air masses and increase cloud cover that limits daytime heating while supporting modest overnight cooling. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS and ECMWF analogs) converge on lows of 25–27°C amid 60–70% rain probability, though some runs project 22–24°C if stronger advection occurs. Trader consensus at 57% for 27°C and 39% for 22°C or below reflects this model spread and resolution criteria around the daily minimum observation, with lower probabilities for extremes above 29°C given the established cooling trend. Updated model runs and local station data tomorrow morning will further refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$49Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a low near 27°C on August 30 driven by northerly winds and rain from typhoon outer-band influences, which advect cooler air masses and increase cloud cover that limits daytime heating while supporting modest overnight cooling. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS and ECMWF analogs) converge on lows of 25–27°C amid 60–70% rain probability, though some runs project 22–24°C if stronger advection occurs. Trader consensus at 57% for 27°C and 39% for 22°C or below reflects this model spread and resolution criteria around the daily minimum observation, with lower probabilities for extremes above 29°C given the established cooling trend. Updated model runs and local station data tomorrow morning will further refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a low near 27°C on August 30 driven by northerly winds and rain from typhoon outer-band influences, which advect cooler air masses and increase cloud cover that limits daytime heating while supporting modest overnight cooling. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS and ECMWF analogs) converge on lows of 25–27°C amid 60–70% rain probability, though some runs project 22–24°C if stronger advection occurs. Trader consensus at 57% for 27°C and 39% for 22°C or below reflects this model spread and resolution criteria around the daily minimum observation, with lower probabilities for extremes above 29°C given the established cooling trend. Updated model runs and local station data tomorrow morning will further refine these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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