**Persistent mild, humid southwesterly flow and widespread cloud/rain cover are keeping overnight lows elevated for Amsterdam on August 30.** Latest model guidance and official forecasts (Met Office, GFS-based sources) point to a nighttime minimum of 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies, light rain or showers, and winds of 12–17 mph from the southwest. This setup limits radiative cooling and maintains higher dew points, preventing the sharper drops typical under clear, calm conditions. August 2026 has run roughly 1.6°C above the long-term monthly average, with recent overnight lows in the 15–16°C range. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on 16–18°C (combined ~89% across the top three outcomes), reflecting the consensus that the current synoptic pattern will hold through the night rather than allowing temperatures to approach the historical average low of 12.5°C. Minor model spread in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts accounts for the tight clustering around these values, with resolution depending on the final observed minimum at the official station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 30 août ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 30 août ?
17°C 34%
16°C 29%
18°C 26%
13°C or below 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
13°C or below
15%
14°C
8%
15°C
10%
16°C
29%
17°C
34%
18°C
26%
19°C
9%
20°C
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
11%
17°C 34%
16°C 29%
18°C 26%
13°C or below 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
13°C or below
$10 Vol.
15%
14°C
$0 Vol.
8%
15°C
$0 Vol.
10%
16°C
$0 Vol.
29%
17°C
$0 Vol.
34%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
9%
20°C
$20 Vol.
3%
21°C
$10 Vol.
8%
22°C
$5 Vol.
8%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent mild, humid southwesterly flow and widespread cloud/rain cover are keeping overnight lows elevated for Amsterdam on August 30.** Latest model guidance and official forecasts (Met Office, GFS-based sources) point to a nighttime minimum of 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies, light rain or showers, and winds of 12–17 mph from the southwest. This setup limits radiative cooling and maintains higher dew points, preventing the sharper drops typical under clear, calm conditions.
August 2026 has run roughly 1.6°C above the long-term monthly average, with recent overnight lows in the 15–16°C range. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on 16–18°C (combined ~89% across the top three outcomes), reflecting the consensus that the current synoptic pattern will hold through the night rather than allowing temperatures to approach the historical average low of 12.5°C. Minor model spread in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts accounts for the tight clustering around these values, with resolution depending on the final observed minimum at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$50Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent mild, humid southwesterly flow and widespread cloud/rain cover are keeping overnight lows elevated for Amsterdam on August 30.** Latest model guidance and official forecasts (Met Office, GFS-based sources) point to a nighttime minimum of 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies, light rain or showers, and winds of 12–17 mph from the southwest. This setup limits radiative cooling and maintains higher dew points, preventing the sharper drops typical under clear, calm conditions.
August 2026 has run roughly 1.6°C above the long-term monthly average, with recent overnight lows in the 15–16°C range. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on 16–18°C (combined ~89% across the top three outcomes), reflecting the consensus that the current synoptic pattern will hold through the night rather than allowing temperatures to approach the historical average low of 12.5°C. Minor model spread in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts accounts for the tight clustering around these values, with resolution depending on the final observed minimum at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent mild, humid southwesterly flow and widespread cloud/rain cover are keeping overnight lows elevated for Amsterdam on August 30.** Latest model guidance and official forecasts (Met Office, GFS-based sources) point to a nighttime minimum of 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies, light rain or showers, and winds of 12–17 mph from the southwest. This setup limits radiative cooling and maintains higher dew points, preventing the sharper drops typical under clear, calm conditions. August 2026 has run roughly 1.6°C above the long-term monthly average, with recent overnight lows in the 15–16°C range. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on 16–18°C (combined ~89% across the top three outcomes), reflecting the consensus that the current synoptic pattern will hold through the night rather than allowing temperatures to approach the historical average low of 12.5°C. Minor model spread in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts accounts for the tight clustering around these values, with resolution depending on the final observed minimum at the official station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes