Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models point to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 29 near 16–17 °C, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around those bins. Persistent southwesterly flow advects mild maritime air while extensive cloud cover and periods of light rain suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply. Historical August minima average near 15 °C, but the current setup—with dew points in the mid-teens and moderate winds—favors a slightly milder floor. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the distribution toward 15 °C or 18 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 29 août ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 29 août ?
16°C 31%
17°C 30%
15°C 30%
18°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
12°C or below
13%
13°C
15%
14°C
11%
15°C
30%
16°C
31%
17°C
30%
18°C
20%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
6%
16°C 31%
17°C 30%
15°C 30%
18°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
12°C or below
$5 Vol.
13%
13°C
$64 Vol.
15%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$0 Vol.
30%
16°C
$0 Vol.
31%
17°C
$0 Vol.
30%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$5 Vol.
8%
20°C
$5 Vol.
8%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models point to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 29 near 16–17 °C, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around those bins. Persistent southwesterly flow advects mild maritime air while extensive cloud cover and periods of light rain suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply. Historical August minima average near 15 °C, but the current setup—with dew points in the mid-teens and moderate winds—favors a slightly milder floor. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the distribution toward 15 °C or 18 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$89Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models point to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 29 near 16–17 °C, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around those bins. Persistent southwesterly flow advects mild maritime air while extensive cloud cover and periods of light rain suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply. Historical August minima average near 15 °C, but the current setup—with dew points in the mid-teens and moderate winds—favors a slightly milder floor. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the distribution toward 15 °C or 18 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$89Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models point to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 29 near 16–17 °C, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around those bins. Persistent southwesterly flow advects mild maritime air while extensive cloud cover and periods of light rain suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply. Historical August minima average near 15 °C, but the current setup—with dew points in the mid-teens and moderate winds—favors a slightly milder floor. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the distribution toward 15 °C or 18 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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