Current forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Milan’s minimum temperature on August 30 will likely fall between 20–22°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote moderate radiational cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology yet shows limited overnight drop due to warm boundary-layer air and minimal cloud cover suppressing further cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated 43.5% implied probability for 24°C or higher, incorporates model spread and recent stable conditions that reduce the chance of sharper drops below 18°C, while the combined weight on 17–18°C outcomes captures residual uncertainty in exact timing of any subtle advection changes ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Milan le 30 août ?
La température la plus basse à Milan le 30 août ?
24°C or higher 88%
15°C 49%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
14°C or below
14%
15°C
49%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
28%
19°C
25%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
1%
23°C
49%
24°C or higher
88%
24°C or higher 88%
15°C 49%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
14%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$27 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C or higher
$5 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Milan’s minimum temperature on August 30 will likely fall between 20–22°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote moderate radiational cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology yet shows limited overnight drop due to warm boundary-layer air and minimal cloud cover suppressing further cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated 43.5% implied probability for 24°C or higher, incorporates model spread and recent stable conditions that reduce the chance of sharper drops below 18°C, while the combined weight on 17–18°C outcomes captures residual uncertainty in exact timing of any subtle advection changes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$37Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Milan’s minimum temperature on August 30 will likely fall between 20–22°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote moderate radiational cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology yet shows limited overnight drop due to warm boundary-layer air and minimal cloud cover suppressing further cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated 43.5% implied probability for 24°C or higher, incorporates model spread and recent stable conditions that reduce the chance of sharper drops below 18°C, while the combined weight on 17–18°C outcomes captures residual uncertainty in exact timing of any subtle advection changes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Milan’s minimum temperature on August 30 will likely fall between 20–22°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote moderate radiational cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology yet shows limited overnight drop due to warm boundary-layer air and minimal cloud cover suppressing further cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated 43.5% implied probability for 24°C or higher, incorporates model spread and recent stable conditions that reduce the chance of sharper drops below 18°C, while the combined weight on 17–18°C outcomes captures residual uncertainty in exact timing of any subtle advection changes ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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