Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds over Warsaw through August 30, supporting limited nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures clustered near 13–15°C. Trader consensus around 12–13°C reflects this guidance alongside model spread on cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture that could allow slightly greater cooling, while the 44.5% on 9°C or below captures residual tail risk if clearer, drier air arrives earlier than expected. August climatology places typical overnight lows near 15°C, providing context for the tight distribution between 11–14°C outcomes amid stable high-pressure influence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Varsovie le 30 août ?
La température la plus basse à Varsovie le 30 août ?
9°C or below 91%
11°C 87%
10°C 86%
14°C 86%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
9°C or below
91%
10°C
86%
11°C
87%
12°C
46%
13°C
46%
14°C
86%
15°C
86%
16°C
86%
17°C
86%
18°C
82%
19°C or higher
2%
9°C or below 91%
11°C 87%
10°C 86%
14°C 86%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
91%
10°C
$0 Vol.
86%
11°C
$0 Vol.
87%
12°C
$0 Vol.
46%
13°C
$0 Vol.
46%
14°C
$0 Vol.
86%
15°C
$0 Vol.
86%
16°C
$0 Vol.
86%
17°C
$0 Vol.
86%
18°C
$5 Vol.
82%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds over Warsaw through August 30, supporting limited nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures clustered near 13–15°C. Trader consensus around 12–13°C reflects this guidance alongside model spread on cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture that could allow slightly greater cooling, while the 44.5% on 9°C or below captures residual tail risk if clearer, drier air arrives earlier than expected. August climatology places typical overnight lows near 15°C, providing context for the tight distribution between 11–14°C outcomes amid stable high-pressure influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$10Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds over Warsaw through August 30, supporting limited nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures clustered near 13–15°C. Trader consensus around 12–13°C reflects this guidance alongside model spread on cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture that could allow slightly greater cooling, while the 44.5% on 9°C or below captures residual tail risk if clearer, drier air arrives earlier than expected. August climatology places typical overnight lows near 15°C, providing context for the tight distribution between 11–14°C outcomes amid stable high-pressure influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds over Warsaw through August 30, supporting limited nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures clustered near 13–15°C. Trader consensus around 12–13°C reflects this guidance alongside model spread on cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture that could allow slightly greater cooling, while the 44.5% on 9°C or below captures residual tail risk if clearer, drier air arrives earlier than expected. August climatology places typical overnight lows near 15°C, providing context for the tight distribution between 11–14°C outcomes amid stable high-pressure influence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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