**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 9–10°C overnight in Buenos Aires on August 28, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and radiative cooling under high pressure.** These conditions favor gradual heat loss after sunset, with dew points near 7–9°C limiting further drops unless skies clear more than expected. Historical August averages place typical lows around 7–8°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probability (72.5%) to 7°C while still pricing in meaningful chances for 5–6°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no major cold-air advection or cloud-cover surprises anticipated before dawn, keeping the risk of readings at or below 4°C very low at 2%. Updated guidance through the evening will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Buenos Aires le 28 août ?
La température la plus basse à Buenos Aires le 28 août ?
7°C 85%
5°C 33%
6°C 26%
4°C ou moins 4%
$1,120 Vol.
$1,120 Vol.
28 août 2026
4°C ou moins
4%
5°C
33%
6°C
26%
7°C
73%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C ou plus
<1%
7°C 85%
5°C 33%
6°C 26%
4°C ou moins 4%
$1,120 Vol.
$1,120 Vol.
28 août 2026
4°C ou moins
$149 Vol.
4%
5°C
$11 Vol.
33%
6°C
$0 Vol.
26%
7°C
$130 Vol.
73%
8°C
$296 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
14°C ou plus
$48 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 9–10°C overnight in Buenos Aires on August 28, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and radiative cooling under high pressure.**
These conditions favor gradual heat loss after sunset, with dew points near 7–9°C limiting further drops unless skies clear more than expected. Historical August averages place typical lows around 7–8°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probability (72.5%) to 7°C while still pricing in meaningful chances for 5–6°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no major cold-air advection or cloud-cover surprises anticipated before dawn, keeping the risk of readings at or below 4°C very low at 2%. Updated guidance through the evening will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,120Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 9–10°C overnight in Buenos Aires on August 28, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and radiative cooling under high pressure.**
These conditions favor gradual heat loss after sunset, with dew points near 7–9°C limiting further drops unless skies clear more than expected. Historical August averages place typical lows around 7–8°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probability (72.5%) to 7°C while still pricing in meaningful chances for 5–6°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no major cold-air advection or cloud-cover surprises anticipated before dawn, keeping the risk of readings at or below 4°C very low at 2%. Updated guidance through the evening will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,120Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 9–10°C overnight in Buenos Aires on August 28, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and radiative cooling under high pressure.** These conditions favor gradual heat loss after sunset, with dew points near 7–9°C limiting further drops unless skies clear more than expected. Historical August averages place typical lows around 7–8°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probability (72.5%) to 7°C while still pricing in meaningful chances for 5–6°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no major cold-air advection or cloud-cover surprises anticipated before dawn, keeping the risk of readings at or below 4°C very low at 2%. Updated guidance through the evening will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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