Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon continues to drive cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Manila through August 27, moderating overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate nighttime lows near 26–27°C under high humidity and persistent cloud cover, with limited diurnal temperature range due to widespread rain suppressing both daytime maxima and clear-night minima. Historical August baselines place typical minima at 25–26°C, yet current model consensus shows slight elevation from monsoon-enhanced moisture and wind. Market-implied probabilities centered on 25–27°C reflect this narrow forecast envelope, where small shifts in rainfall timing or cloud breaks could tip the recorded low by 1°C while distant tropical systems remain too far east to alter steering patterns before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Manille le 27 août ?
Température la plus basse à Manille le 27 août ?
24°C 48%
28°C 48%
29°C 48%
23°C 41%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 août 2026
21°C ou moins
3%
22°C
19%
23°C
41%
24°C
48%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
48%
29°C
48%
30°C
2%
31°C ou plus
41%
24°C 48%
28°C 48%
29°C 48%
23°C 41%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
41%
24°C
$0 Vol.
48%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
48%
29°C
$0 Vol.
48%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon continues to drive cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Manila through August 27, moderating overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate nighttime lows near 26–27°C under high humidity and persistent cloud cover, with limited diurnal temperature range due to widespread rain suppressing both daytime maxima and clear-night minima. Historical August baselines place typical minima at 25–26°C, yet current model consensus shows slight elevation from monsoon-enhanced moisture and wind. Market-implied probabilities centered on 25–27°C reflect this narrow forecast envelope, where small shifts in rainfall timing or cloud breaks could tip the recorded low by 1°C while distant tropical systems remain too far east to alter steering patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon continues to drive cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Manila through August 27, moderating overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate nighttime lows near 26–27°C under high humidity and persistent cloud cover, with limited diurnal temperature range due to widespread rain suppressing both daytime maxima and clear-night minima. Historical August baselines place typical minima at 25–26°C, yet current model consensus shows slight elevation from monsoon-enhanced moisture and wind. Market-implied probabilities centered on 25–27°C reflect this narrow forecast envelope, where small shifts in rainfall timing or cloud breaks could tip the recorded low by 1°C while distant tropical systems remain too far east to alter steering patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon continues to drive cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Manila through August 27, moderating overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate nighttime lows near 26–27°C under high humidity and persistent cloud cover, with limited diurnal temperature range due to widespread rain suppressing both daytime maxima and clear-night minima. Historical August baselines place typical minima at 25–26°C, yet current model consensus shows slight elevation from monsoon-enhanced moisture and wind. Market-implied probabilities centered on 25–27°C reflect this narrow forecast envelope, where small shifts in rainfall timing or cloud breaks could tip the recorded low by 1°C while distant tropical systems remain too far east to alter steering patterns before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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