Frequent southwest monsoon rains and thunderstorms over Metro Manila are moderating overnight temperatures ahead of August 26, keeping minimums in a narrow band near historical averages of 26–28°C. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit radiative cooling after sunset, while moderate southwesterly winds enhance mixing. Recent PAGASA advisories highlight scattered showers through the period, which traders interpret as favoring 25–27°C outcomes with closely matched probabilities. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, though localized clearing or heavier rainfall could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity of convection.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Manille le 26 août ?
31°C ou plus 30%
27°C 30%
25°C 28%
26°C 27%
21°C ou moins
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
23%
24°C
19%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
30%
28°C
24%
29°C
23%
30°C
2%
31°C ou plus
30%
31°C ou plus 30%
27°C 30%
25°C 28%
26°C 27%
21°C ou moins
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
23%
24°C
19%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
30%
28°C
24%
29°C
23%
30°C
2%
31°C ou plus
30%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Frequent southwest monsoon rains and thunderstorms over Metro Manila are moderating overnight temperatures ahead of August 26, keeping minimums in a narrow band near historical averages of 26–28°C. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit radiative cooling after sunset, while moderate southwesterly winds enhance mixing. Recent PAGASA advisories highlight scattered showers through the period, which traders interpret as favoring 25–27°C outcomes with closely matched probabilities. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, though localized clearing or heavier rainfall could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity of convection.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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