**Current forecasts position the minimum temperature in Istanbul on August 26 around the low-to-mid 20s Celsius.** Official guidance and model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate overnight lows near 20–22°C under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer in the region. Istanbul’s Mediterranean climate, moderated by the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara, produces a narrow diurnal range with limited cooling at night when winds remain light. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 21–25°C because recent model runs show no significant cool-air advection or increased cloud cover that would drop readings into the teens, while the small probabilities assigned to 27°C+ or 17°C and below reflect the low likelihood of unusual extremes this late in the season. Updated short-range model output on the morning of the 26th will be the key data point that could shift these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Istanbul le 26 août ?
La température la plus basse à Istanbul le 26 août ?
25°C 88%
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
21°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
17°C or below
2%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
1%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
88%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
2%
25°C 88%
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
21°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
17°C or below
$70 Vol.
2%
18°C
$15 Vol.
50%
19°C
$15 Vol.
50%
20°C
$15 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$120 Vol.
88%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$135 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position the minimum temperature in Istanbul on August 26 around the low-to-mid 20s Celsius.** Official guidance and model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate overnight lows near 20–22°C under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer in the region. Istanbul’s Mediterranean climate, moderated by the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara, produces a narrow diurnal range with limited cooling at night when winds remain light. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 21–25°C because recent model runs show no significant cool-air advection or increased cloud cover that would drop readings into the teens, while the small probabilities assigned to 27°C+ or 17°C and below reflect the low likelihood of unusual extremes this late in the season. Updated short-range model output on the morning of the 26th will be the key data point that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$370Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position the minimum temperature in Istanbul on August 26 around the low-to-mid 20s Celsius.** Official guidance and model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate overnight lows near 20–22°C under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer in the region. Istanbul’s Mediterranean climate, moderated by the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara, produces a narrow diurnal range with limited cooling at night when winds remain light. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 21–25°C because recent model runs show no significant cool-air advection or increased cloud cover that would drop readings into the teens, while the small probabilities assigned to 27°C+ or 17°C and below reflect the low likelihood of unusual extremes this late in the season. Updated short-range model output on the morning of the 26th will be the key data point that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$370Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts position the minimum temperature in Istanbul on August 26 around the low-to-mid 20s Celsius.** Official guidance and model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate overnight lows near 20–22°C under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer in the region. Istanbul’s Mediterranean climate, moderated by the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara, produces a narrow diurnal range with limited cooling at night when winds remain light. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 21–25°C because recent model runs show no significant cool-air advection or increased cloud cover that would drop readings into the teens, while the small probabilities assigned to 27°C+ or 17°C and below reflect the low likelihood of unusual extremes this late in the season. Updated short-range model output on the morning of the 26th will be the key data point that could shift these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes