Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate project overnight lows near 12–15°C in Warsaw under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds, favoring modest radiational cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 11–12°C (combined ~55% implied probability) while assigning notable weight to 7°C or below (~28.5%), reflecting model spread in minimum temperature outcomes driven by small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point depression. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 12°C with occasional dips below 10°C under clear skies, and the tight spread across mid-range buckets underscores uncertainty in exact resolution thresholds ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Varsovie le 27 août ?
La température la plus basse à Varsovie le 27 août ?
7°C or below 57%
14°C 47%
9°C 46%
10°C 46%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 août 2026
7°C or below
57%
8°C
34%
9°C
46%
10°C
46%
11°C
27%
12°C
28%
13°C
46%
14°C
47%
15°C
46%
16°C
46%
17°C or higher
2%
7°C or below 57%
14°C 47%
9°C 46%
10°C 46%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 août 2026
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
57%
8°C
$0 Vol.
34%
9°C
$0 Vol.
46%
10°C
$0 Vol.
46%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
46%
14°C
$0 Vol.
47%
15°C
$0 Vol.
46%
16°C
$0 Vol.
46%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate project overnight lows near 12–15°C in Warsaw under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds, favoring modest radiational cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 11–12°C (combined ~55% implied probability) while assigning notable weight to 7°C or below (~28.5%), reflecting model spread in minimum temperature outcomes driven by small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point depression. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 12°C with occasional dips below 10°C under clear skies, and the tight spread across mid-range buckets underscores uncertainty in exact resolution thresholds ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate project overnight lows near 12–15°C in Warsaw under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds, favoring modest radiational cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 11–12°C (combined ~55% implied probability) while assigning notable weight to 7°C or below (~28.5%), reflecting model spread in minimum temperature outcomes driven by small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point depression. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 12°C with occasional dips below 10°C under clear skies, and the tight spread across mid-range buckets underscores uncertainty in exact resolution thresholds ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate project overnight lows near 12–15°C in Warsaw under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds, favoring modest radiational cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 11–12°C (combined ~55% implied probability) while assigning notable weight to 7°C or below (~28.5%), reflecting model spread in minimum temperature outcomes driven by small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point depression. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 12°C with occasional dips below 10°C under clear skies, and the tight spread across mid-range buckets underscores uncertainty in exact resolution thresholds ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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