Recent Met Office observations and forecast model runs for London on August 26, 2026, show overnight minimum temperatures holding near 18°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's 100% implied probability for an 18°C low, reflecting the consensus from surface stations and numerical guidance that further drops are unlikely under the prevailing mild, muggy air mass. Historical August climatology for the region supports typical minima in the mid-teens Celsius, but the current setup's stability has reinforced trader confidence. A late shift to clearer skies could allow additional cooling below the threshold at some sites, though models show low likelihood through the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 26 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 26 août ?
18°C 100.0%
12°C ou moins <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$12,751 Vol.
$12,751 Vol.
26 août 2026
12°C ou moins
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Oui
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C ou plus
Non
18°C 100.0%
12°C ou moins <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$12,751 Vol.
$12,751 Vol.
26 août 2026
12°C ou moins
$594 Vol.
Non
13°C
$56 Vol.
Non
14°C
$448 Vol.
Non
15°C
$1,517 Vol.
Non
16°C
$356 Vol.
Non
17°C
$2,245 Vol.
Non
18°C
$2,563 Vol.
Oui
19°C
$946 Vol.
Non
20°C
$105 Vol.
Non
21°C
$1,039 Vol.
Non
22°C ou plus
$2,884 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office observations and forecast model runs for London on August 26, 2026, show overnight minimum temperatures holding near 18°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's 100% implied probability for an 18°C low, reflecting the consensus from surface stations and numerical guidance that further drops are unlikely under the prevailing mild, muggy air mass. Historical August climatology for the region supports typical minima in the mid-teens Celsius, but the current setup's stability has reinforced trader confidence. A late shift to clearer skies could allow additional cooling below the threshold at some sites, though models show low likelihood through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$12,751Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office observations and forecast model runs for London on August 26, 2026, show overnight minimum temperatures holding near 18°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's 100% implied probability for an 18°C low, reflecting the consensus from surface stations and numerical guidance that further drops are unlikely under the prevailing mild, muggy air mass. Historical August climatology for the region supports typical minima in the mid-teens Celsius, but the current setup's stability has reinforced trader confidence. A late shift to clearer skies could allow additional cooling below the threshold at some sites, though models show low likelihood through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,751Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent Met Office observations and forecast model runs for London on August 26, 2026, show overnight minimum temperatures holding near 18°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's 100% implied probability for an 18°C low, reflecting the consensus from surface stations and numerical guidance that further drops are unlikely under the prevailing mild, muggy air mass. Historical August climatology for the region supports typical minima in the mid-teens Celsius, but the current setup's stability has reinforced trader confidence. A late shift to clearer skies could allow additional cooling below the threshold at some sites, though models show low likelihood through the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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