Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate an overnight minimum of 13–15 °C for London on 31 August, driven by a west-southwesterly flow under partly cloudy skies following showers on the 30th. This places the expected low near 15 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 51 % implied probability for that outcome and 36.5 % for 16 °C. Clearer spells after midnight and light winds should limit further cooling, while any lingering cloud or showers could push readings to 14 °C or below. Updated forecast runs and observational data through the evening of the 30th remain the key variables that could shift these probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 31 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 31 août ?
15°C 51%
16°C 39%
14°C 9%
13°C 4.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
10°C ou moins
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
9%
15°C
51%
16°C
39%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou plus
<1%
15°C 51%
16°C 39%
14°C 9%
13°C 4.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
10°C ou moins
$171 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$315 Vol.
4%
14°C
$289 Vol.
9%
15°C
$894 Vol.
51%
16°C
$916 Vol.
39%
17°C
$119 Vol.
3%
18°C
$204 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
20°C ou plus
$59 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate an overnight minimum of 13–15 °C for London on 31 August, driven by a west-southwesterly flow under partly cloudy skies following showers on the 30th. This places the expected low near 15 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 51 % implied probability for that outcome and 36.5 % for 16 °C. Clearer spells after midnight and light winds should limit further cooling, while any lingering cloud or showers could push readings to 14 °C or below. Updated forecast runs and observational data through the evening of the 30th remain the key variables that could shift these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,495Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate an overnight minimum of 13–15 °C for London on 31 August, driven by a west-southwesterly flow under partly cloudy skies following showers on the 30th. This places the expected low near 15 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 51 % implied probability for that outcome and 36.5 % for 16 °C. Clearer spells after midnight and light winds should limit further cooling, while any lingering cloud or showers could push readings to 14 °C or below. Updated forecast runs and observational data through the evening of the 30th remain the key variables that could shift these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,495Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate an overnight minimum of 13–15 °C for London on 31 August, driven by a west-southwesterly flow under partly cloudy skies following showers on the 30th. This places the expected low near 15 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 51 % implied probability for that outcome and 36.5 % for 16 °C. Clearer spells after midnight and light winds should limit further cooling, while any lingering cloud or showers could push readings to 14 °C or below. Updated forecast runs and observational data through the evening of the 30th remain the key variables that could shift these probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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