**Forecast models and official outlooks for Karachi on August 29, 2026, point to overnight lows near 26–27°C, consistent with the market’s highest-implied probabilities for those exact values.** Persistent southwesterly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, combined with high humidity (typically 70–85% at night) and partly cloudy skies, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep temperatures from dropping sharply. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble forecasts show stable monsoon conditions with minimal rainfall expected, aligning with climatological August minima of ~27°C and recent observations around 26–27°C. Trader consensus favors 27°C (39.5%) and 26°C (26.5%) because current model runs and historical analogs rarely produce larger deviations without unusual cloud cover or stronger winds. Lower outcomes like 25°C carry meaningful but secondary probability due to occasional variability, while extremes below 22°C or above 30°C remain unlikely given the strong maritime moderation. Updated model guidance or any unexpected convective activity could shift these implied odds in the final hours before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Karachi le 29 août ?
La température la plus basse à Karachi le 29 août ?
31°C ou plus 90%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
40%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C ou plus
90%
31°C ou plus 90%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
22°C
$5 Vol.
49%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C
$5 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$105 Vol.
40%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$5 Vol.
49%
30°C
$5 Vol.
49%
31°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official outlooks for Karachi on August 29, 2026, point to overnight lows near 26–27°C, consistent with the market’s highest-implied probabilities for those exact values.** Persistent southwesterly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, combined with high humidity (typically 70–85% at night) and partly cloudy skies, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep temperatures from dropping sharply. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble forecasts show stable monsoon conditions with minimal rainfall expected, aligning with climatological August minima of ~27°C and recent observations around 26–27°C.
Trader consensus favors 27°C (39.5%) and 26°C (26.5%) because current model runs and historical analogs rarely produce larger deviations without unusual cloud cover or stronger winds. Lower outcomes like 25°C carry meaningful but secondary probability due to occasional variability, while extremes below 22°C or above 30°C remain unlikely given the strong maritime moderation. Updated model guidance or any unexpected convective activity could shift these implied odds in the final hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$140Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official outlooks for Karachi on August 29, 2026, point to overnight lows near 26–27°C, consistent with the market’s highest-implied probabilities for those exact values.** Persistent southwesterly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, combined with high humidity (typically 70–85% at night) and partly cloudy skies, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep temperatures from dropping sharply. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble forecasts show stable monsoon conditions with minimal rainfall expected, aligning with climatological August minima of ~27°C and recent observations around 26–27°C.
Trader consensus favors 27°C (39.5%) and 26°C (26.5%) because current model runs and historical analogs rarely produce larger deviations without unusual cloud cover or stronger winds. Lower outcomes like 25°C carry meaningful but secondary probability due to occasional variability, while extremes below 22°C or above 30°C remain unlikely given the strong maritime moderation. Updated model guidance or any unexpected convective activity could shift these implied odds in the final hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$140Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official outlooks for Karachi on August 29, 2026, point to overnight lows near 26–27°C, consistent with the market’s highest-implied probabilities for those exact values.** Persistent southwesterly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, combined with high humidity (typically 70–85% at night) and partly cloudy skies, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep temperatures from dropping sharply. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble forecasts show stable monsoon conditions with minimal rainfall expected, aligning with climatological August minima of ~27°C and recent observations around 26–27°C. Trader consensus favors 27°C (39.5%) and 26°C (26.5%) because current model runs and historical analogs rarely produce larger deviations without unusual cloud cover or stronger winds. Lower outcomes like 25°C carry meaningful but secondary probability due to occasional variability, while extremes below 22°C or above 30°C remain unlikely given the strong maritime moderation. Updated model guidance or any unexpected convective activity could shift these implied odds in the final hours before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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