The dominant market consensus on 28°C (99.8% implied probability) stems from official Hong Kong Observatory and airport station data confirming that as the precise minimum air temperature recorded overnight into August 28, 2026. High relative humidity, persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and scattered showers associated with a broad monsoon trough suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping readings clustered tightly around 28°C across multiple automated stations with no verified dips below that threshold. This aligns with climatological patterns for late-summer Hong Kong nights under similar synoptic setups. Minor revisions to final quality-controlled records or station-specific microclimate differences represent the main realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome, though the narrow spread of observations makes such shifts unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 28 août ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 28 août ?
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
29°C <1%
$19,861 Vol.
$19,861 Vol.
28 août 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
29°C <1%
$19,861 Vol.
$19,861 Vol.
28 août 2026
22°C or below
$273 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$397 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$734 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,193 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,327 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,496 Vol.
1%
28°C
$6,033 Vol.
100%
29°C
$4,350 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$380 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus on 28°C (99.8% implied probability) stems from official Hong Kong Observatory and airport station data confirming that as the precise minimum air temperature recorded overnight into August 28, 2026. High relative humidity, persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and scattered showers associated with a broad monsoon trough suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping readings clustered tightly around 28°C across multiple automated stations with no verified dips below that threshold. This aligns with climatological patterns for late-summer Hong Kong nights under similar synoptic setups. Minor revisions to final quality-controlled records or station-specific microclimate differences represent the main realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome, though the narrow spread of observations makes such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$19,861Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus on 28°C (99.8% implied probability) stems from official Hong Kong Observatory and airport station data confirming that as the precise minimum air temperature recorded overnight into August 28, 2026. High relative humidity, persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and scattered showers associated with a broad monsoon trough suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping readings clustered tightly around 28°C across multiple automated stations with no verified dips below that threshold. This aligns with climatological patterns for late-summer Hong Kong nights under similar synoptic setups. Minor revisions to final quality-controlled records or station-specific microclimate differences represent the main realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome, though the narrow spread of observations makes such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,861Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The dominant market consensus on 28°C (99.8% implied probability) stems from official Hong Kong Observatory and airport station data confirming that as the precise minimum air temperature recorded overnight into August 28, 2026. High relative humidity, persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and scattered showers associated with a broad monsoon trough suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping readings clustered tightly around 28°C across multiple automated stations with no verified dips below that threshold. This aligns with climatological patterns for late-summer Hong Kong nights under similar synoptic setups. Minor revisions to final quality-controlled records or station-specific microclimate differences represent the main realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome, though the narrow spread of observations makes such shifts unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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