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icon for La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 30 août ?

La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 30 août ?

icon for La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 30 août ?

La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 30 août ?

août 28

août 29

août 30

août 28

août 29

août 30

27°C 40%

26°C 36%

28°C 21%

25°C 16%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

27°C 40%

26°C 36%

28°C 21%

25°C 16%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

22°C or below

$18 Vol.

1%

23°C

$5 Vol.

1%

24°C

$61 Vol.

5%

25°C

$0 Vol.

16%

26°C

$6 Vol.

36%

27°C

$31 Vol.

40%

28°C

$0 Vol.

21%

29°C

$138 Vol.

5%

30°C

$5 Vol.

6%

31°C

$5 Vol.

1%

32°C or higher

$5 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 30 project a minimum of 27°C amid a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions, including showers, thunderstorms, and medium-high rainfall probability across the territory. High relative humidity (75–95%) combined with persistent cloud cover will suppress nocturnal radiative cooling and compress the diurnal temperature range, while light southwest winds offer limited mixing. These factors create tight differentiation between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as small variations in shower timing, local urban heat-island effects, or model updates to steering flow could shift the observed low at the reference station. Traders weigh the consensus forecast against historical late-August climatology, where minima typically cluster near 26–27°C, ahead of the next HKO bulletin.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$274
Date de fin
30 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 30 project a minimum of 27°C amid a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions, including showers, thunderstorms, and medium-high rainfall probability across the territory. High relative humidity (75–95%) combined with persistent cloud cover will suppress nocturnal radiative cooling and compress the diurnal temperature range, while light southwest winds offer limited mixing. These factors create tight differentiation between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as small variations in shower timing, local urban heat-island effects, or model updates to steering flow could shift the observed low at the reference station. Traders weigh the consensus forecast against historical late-August climatology, where minima typically cluster near 26–27°C, ahead of the next HKO bulletin.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$274
Date de fin
30 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Connexes

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Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 30 août ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 27°C » à 40%, suivi de « 26°C » à 36%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 40¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 30 août ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 28, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 30 août ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 30 août ? » est « 27°C » à 40%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 26°C » à 36%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 30 août ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.