Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 29 most likely near 15–17°C, driven by southwest flow under partly cloudy skies that limits strong nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining mild advection. This aligns with the historical late-August average low of 13.5°C but reflects a modest warming anomaly persisting into the period, as daytime highs hover around 22–23°C with light precipitation chances. Model consensus shows limited spread in overnight lows, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could push the reading toward 15°C or 17–18°C. Traders have concentrated probability on 16°C given the stability of current guidance ahead of final model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 29 août ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 29 août ?
16°C 48%
18°C 20%
17°C 17%
15°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
11°C ou moins
3%
12°C
9%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
16%
16°C
48%
17°C
17%
18°C
20%
19°C
5%
20°C
6%
21°C ou plus
2%
16°C 48%
18°C 20%
17°C 17%
15°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
11°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
3%
12°C
$5 Vol.
9%
13°C
$46 Vol.
5%
14°C
$46 Vol.
5%
15°C
$0 Vol.
16%
16°C
$67 Vol.
48%
17°C
$0 Vol.
17%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$30 Vol.
5%
20°C
$5 Vol.
6%
21°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 29 most likely near 15–17°C, driven by southwest flow under partly cloudy skies that limits strong nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining mild advection. This aligns with the historical late-August average low of 13.5°C but reflects a modest warming anomaly persisting into the period, as daytime highs hover around 22–23°C with light precipitation chances. Model consensus shows limited spread in overnight lows, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could push the reading toward 15°C or 17–18°C. Traders have concentrated probability on 16°C given the stability of current guidance ahead of final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$208Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 29 most likely near 15–17°C, driven by southwest flow under partly cloudy skies that limits strong nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining mild advection. This aligns with the historical late-August average low of 13.5°C but reflects a modest warming anomaly persisting into the period, as daytime highs hover around 22–23°C with light precipitation chances. Model consensus shows limited spread in overnight lows, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could push the reading toward 15°C or 17–18°C. Traders have concentrated probability on 16°C given the stability of current guidance ahead of final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$208Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 29 most likely near 15–17°C, driven by southwest flow under partly cloudy skies that limits strong nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining mild advection. This aligns with the historical late-August average low of 13.5°C but reflects a modest warming anomaly persisting into the period, as daytime highs hover around 22–23°C with light precipitation chances. Model consensus shows limited spread in overnight lows, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could push the reading toward 15°C or 17–18°C. Traders have concentrated probability on 16°C given the stability of current guidance ahead of final model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes