Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on July 31 clustering near 18–19°C amid a late-month heat episode, with highs expected to reach 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong high-pressure influence promoting daytime heating yet allowing moderate nocturnal radiational cooling, tempered by residual warmth from prior days and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to subtle shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or frontal approaches that could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C either way, consistent with the tight market-implied odds between the top two outcomes and the modest probability assigned to 17°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 31 juillet ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 31 juillet ?
18°C 52%
17°C ou moins 30%
19°C 20%
20°C 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 juil. 2026
17°C ou moins
30%
18°C
52%
19°C
20%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou plus
<1%
18°C 52%
17°C ou moins 30%
19°C 20%
20°C 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 juil. 2026
17°C ou moins
$514 Vol.
30%
18°C
$753 Vol.
52%
19°C
$366 Vol.
20%
20°C
$96 Vol.
2%
21°C
$165 Vol.
2%
22°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$98 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$76 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$418 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
27°C ou plus
$36 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on July 31 clustering near 18–19°C amid a late-month heat episode, with highs expected to reach 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong high-pressure influence promoting daytime heating yet allowing moderate nocturnal radiational cooling, tempered by residual warmth from prior days and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to subtle shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or frontal approaches that could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C either way, consistent with the tight market-implied odds between the top two outcomes and the modest probability assigned to 17°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,767Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on July 31 clustering near 18–19°C amid a late-month heat episode, with highs expected to reach 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong high-pressure influence promoting daytime heating yet allowing moderate nocturnal radiational cooling, tempered by residual warmth from prior days and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to subtle shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or frontal approaches that could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C either way, consistent with the tight market-implied odds between the top two outcomes and the modest probability assigned to 17°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,767Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on July 31 clustering near 18–19°C amid a late-month heat episode, with highs expected to reach 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong high-pressure influence promoting daytime heating yet allowing moderate nocturnal radiational cooling, tempered by residual warmth from prior days and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to subtle shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or frontal approaches that could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C either way, consistent with the tight market-implied odds between the top two outcomes and the modest probability assigned to 17°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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