**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a minimum temperature of 24°C for Shanghai on September 8, 2026, underpinning the 95.5% market-implied probability.** Current conditions feature northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity, with daytime highs near 29–30°C giving way to overnight radiative cooling that bottoms out around 23–25°C according to official guidance and ensemble runs. Historical September climatology for the region supports this narrow range, with typical diurnal drops of 5–7°C under similar synoptic patterns. The dominant consensus reflects consistent model agreement on the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms such as enhanced cloud cover or frontal passages. A realistic shift below 24°C would require a sharper-than-expected temperature drop in the final hours, which current observations and short-range guidance do not indicate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 8 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 8 septembre ?
24°C 96%
23°C 2%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$16,479 Vol.
$16,479 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
96%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 96%
23°C 2%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$16,479 Vol.
$16,479 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
$1,254 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,203 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,392 Vol.
1%
22°C
$243 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,244 Vol.
2%
24°C
$6,519 Vol.
96%
25°C
$2,472 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$777 Vol.
<1%
28°C ou plus
$91 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a minimum temperature of 24°C for Shanghai on September 8, 2026, underpinning the 95.5% market-implied probability.**
Current conditions feature northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity, with daytime highs near 29–30°C giving way to overnight radiative cooling that bottoms out around 23–25°C according to official guidance and ensemble runs. Historical September climatology for the region supports this narrow range, with typical diurnal drops of 5–7°C under similar synoptic patterns. The dominant consensus reflects consistent model agreement on the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms such as enhanced cloud cover or frontal passages. A realistic shift below 24°C would require a sharper-than-expected temperature drop in the final hours, which current observations and short-range guidance do not indicate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$16,479Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a minimum temperature of 24°C for Shanghai on September 8, 2026, underpinning the 95.5% market-implied probability.**
Current conditions feature northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity, with daytime highs near 29–30°C giving way to overnight radiative cooling that bottoms out around 23–25°C according to official guidance and ensemble runs. Historical September climatology for the region supports this narrow range, with typical diurnal drops of 5–7°C under similar synoptic patterns. The dominant consensus reflects consistent model agreement on the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms such as enhanced cloud cover or frontal passages. A realistic shift below 24°C would require a sharper-than-expected temperature drop in the final hours, which current observations and short-range guidance do not indicate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,479Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a minimum temperature of 24°C for Shanghai on September 8, 2026, underpinning the 95.5% market-implied probability.** Current conditions feature northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity, with daytime highs near 29–30°C giving way to overnight radiative cooling that bottoms out around 23–25°C according to official guidance and ensemble runs. Historical September climatology for the region supports this narrow range, with typical diurnal drops of 5–7°C under similar synoptic patterns. The dominant consensus reflects consistent model agreement on the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms such as enhanced cloud cover or frontal passages. A realistic shift below 24°C would require a sharper-than-expected temperature drop in the final hours, which current observations and short-range guidance do not indicate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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