**Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Tokyo on September 18, supporting the market's leading 19°C (43%) and 20°C (35.5%) outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply below recent values around 19–20°C. Light rain or drizzle in some runs could further moderate the minimum by enhancing downward heat flux, while any brief clearing or stronger winds might allow a slightly lower reading near 18°C. Historical mid-September climatology shows average lows near 19°C, providing context for the tight spread. Updated model runs and official briefings overnight will refine the precise threshold ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 18 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 18 septembre ?
19°C 43%
20°C 39%
21°C 9%
18°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
6%
18°C
8%
19°C
43%
20°C
39%
21°C
9%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C ou plus
1%
19°C 43%
20°C 39%
21°C 9%
18°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$53 Vol.
1%
15°C
$53 Vol.
1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
6%
18°C
$224 Vol.
8%
19°C
$1,339 Vol.
43%
20°C
$918 Vol.
39%
21°C
$16 Vol.
9%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C ou plus
$29 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Tokyo on September 18, supporting the market's leading 19°C (43%) and 20°C (35.5%) outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply below recent values around 19–20°C. Light rain or drizzle in some runs could further moderate the minimum by enhancing downward heat flux, while any brief clearing or stronger winds might allow a slightly lower reading near 18°C. Historical mid-September climatology shows average lows near 19°C, providing context for the tight spread. Updated model runs and official briefings overnight will refine the precise threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,631Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Tokyo on September 18, supporting the market's leading 19°C (43%) and 20°C (35.5%) outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply below recent values around 19–20°C. Light rain or drizzle in some runs could further moderate the minimum by enhancing downward heat flux, while any brief clearing or stronger winds might allow a slightly lower reading near 18°C. Historical mid-September climatology shows average lows near 19°C, providing context for the tight spread. Updated model runs and official briefings overnight will refine the precise threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,631Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Tokyo on September 18, supporting the market's leading 19°C (43%) and 20°C (35.5%) outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply below recent values around 19–20°C. Light rain or drizzle in some runs could further moderate the minimum by enhancing downward heat flux, while any brief clearing or stronger winds might allow a slightly lower reading near 18°C. Historical mid-September climatology shows average lows near 19°C, providing context for the tight spread. Updated model runs and official briefings overnight will refine the precise threshold ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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