Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership after his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 amid U.S.-Israeli strikes, yet he has made no verified public appearances since. Written statements attributed to him continue to address nuclear policy, Strait of Hormuz control, and regional strategy, while U.S. intelligence assessments and regional reporting cite possible injuries sustained in the initial attacks, leading to speculation he may be recovering abroad or directing affairs through intermediaries from a secure location. Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, confirmed an in-person meeting in early May, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated he believes Khamenei remains alive but concealed domestically. IRGC commanders have expanded influence over military and diplomatic decisions during the ongoing conflict, reducing the visibility of formal leadership transitions. These factors sustain trader focus on whether security needs or medical requirements could prompt an exit before key deadlines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,123,215 Vol.
31 mai 2026
31 mai
1%
30 juin
3%
$1,123,215 Vol.
31 mai
$101,958 Vol.
1%
30 juin
$49,647 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership after his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 amid U.S.-Israeli strikes, yet he has made no verified public appearances since. Written statements attributed to him continue to address nuclear policy, Strait of Hormuz control, and regional strategy, while U.S. intelligence assessments and regional reporting cite possible injuries sustained in the initial attacks, leading to speculation he may be recovering abroad or directing affairs through intermediaries from a secure location. Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, confirmed an in-person meeting in early May, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated he believes Khamenei remains alive but concealed domestically. IRGC commanders have expanded influence over military and diplomatic decisions during the ongoing conflict, reducing the visibility of formal leadership transitions. These factors sustain trader focus on whether security needs or medical requirements could prompt an exit before key deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Volume
$1,123,215Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership after his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 amid U.S.-Israeli strikes, yet he has made no verified public appearances since. Written statements attributed to him continue to address nuclear policy, Strait of Hormuz control, and regional strategy, while U.S. intelligence assessments and regional reporting cite possible injuries sustained in the initial attacks, leading to speculation he may be recovering abroad or directing affairs through intermediaries from a secure location. Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, confirmed an in-person meeting in early May, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated he believes Khamenei remains alive but concealed domestically. IRGC commanders have expanded influence over military and diplomatic decisions during the ongoing conflict, reducing the visibility of formal leadership transitions. These factors sustain trader focus on whether security needs or medical requirements could prompt an exit before key deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,123,215Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership after his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 amid U.S.-Israeli strikes, yet he has made no verified public appearances since. Written statements attributed to him continue to address nuclear policy, Strait of Hormuz control, and regional strategy, while U.S. intelligence assessments and regional reporting cite possible injuries sustained in the initial attacks, leading to speculation he may be recovering abroad or directing affairs through intermediaries from a secure location. Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, confirmed an in-person meeting in early May, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated he believes Khamenei remains alive but concealed domestically. IRGC commanders have expanded influence over military and diplomatic decisions during the ongoing conflict, reducing the visibility of formal leadership transitions. These factors sustain trader focus on whether security needs or medical requirements could prompt an exit before key deadlines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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