Iran’s ongoing military conflict with Israel and the United States, which began with the February 2026 airstrike that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, remains the central driver of trader focus on Mojtaba Khamenei’s potential departure. Appointed successor on March 8 by the Assembly of Experts, the 56-year-old has maintained no verified public appearances, prompting persistent speculation over injuries sustained in the same attack and questions about his capacity to exercise authority. Official Iranian statements continue to affirm his health and oversight role, including a May 7 meeting reported by President Masoud Pezeshkian, while intelligence assessments and regional reporting highlight possible IRGC influence over daily governance. Any verified exit from Iran would likely hinge on shifts in battlefield conditions or internal power dynamics within the next several weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,150,354 Vol.
30 juin 2026
31 mai
1%
30 juin
3%
$1,150,354 Vol.
31 mai
$115,397 Vol.
1%
30 juin
$63,347 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s ongoing military conflict with Israel and the United States, which began with the February 2026 airstrike that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, remains the central driver of trader focus on Mojtaba Khamenei’s potential departure. Appointed successor on March 8 by the Assembly of Experts, the 56-year-old has maintained no verified public appearances, prompting persistent speculation over injuries sustained in the same attack and questions about his capacity to exercise authority. Official Iranian statements continue to affirm his health and oversight role, including a May 7 meeting reported by President Masoud Pezeshkian, while intelligence assessments and regional reporting highlight possible IRGC influence over daily governance. Any verified exit from Iran would likely hinge on shifts in battlefield conditions or internal power dynamics within the next several weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Volume
$1,150,354Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s ongoing military conflict with Israel and the United States, which began with the February 2026 airstrike that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, remains the central driver of trader focus on Mojtaba Khamenei’s potential departure. Appointed successor on March 8 by the Assembly of Experts, the 56-year-old has maintained no verified public appearances, prompting persistent speculation over injuries sustained in the same attack and questions about his capacity to exercise authority. Official Iranian statements continue to affirm his health and oversight role, including a May 7 meeting reported by President Masoud Pezeshkian, while intelligence assessments and regional reporting highlight possible IRGC influence over daily governance. Any verified exit from Iran would likely hinge on shifts in battlefield conditions or internal power dynamics within the next several weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,150,354Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s ongoing military conflict with Israel and the United States, which began with the February 2026 airstrike that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, remains the central driver of trader focus on Mojtaba Khamenei’s potential departure. Appointed successor on March 8 by the Assembly of Experts, the 56-year-old has maintained no verified public appearances, prompting persistent speculation over injuries sustained in the same attack and questions about his capacity to exercise authority. Official Iranian statements continue to affirm his health and oversight role, including a May 7 meeting reported by President Masoud Pezeshkian, while intelligence assessments and regional reporting highlight possible IRGC influence over daily governance. Any verified exit from Iran would likely hinge on shifts in battlefield conditions or internal power dynamics within the next several weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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