Massive domestic opening of roughly $360 million, the biggest ever, has established strong trader consensus around a robust but sub-$180 million second weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited immediate competition support a potential record sophomore frame, yet typical 50-60% drops for tentpoles position the under-$180 million outcome as the clear frontrunner at over 85% implied probability. Recent global milestones, including crossing $1 billion in under a week, reinforce sustained audience interest ahead of the August 9-11 frame, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters limit upside scenarios above $190 million.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 86%
180-190M 10%
190-200m 3.5%
210-220 millions 1.0%
$17,481 Vol.
$17,481 Vol.
9 août 2026
<180m
86%
180-190M
10%
190-200m
4%
200-210M
1%
210-220 millions
1%
220 M+
<1%
<180m 86%
180-190M 10%
190-200m 3.5%
210-220 millions 1.0%
$17,481 Vol.
$17,481 Vol.
9 août 2026
<180m
$10,049 Vol.
86%
180-190M
$1,091 Vol.
10%
190-200m
$1,380 Vol.
4%
200-210M
$1,061 Vol.
1%
210-220 millions
$1,282 Vol.
1%
220 M+
$2,617 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Massive domestic opening of roughly $360 million, the biggest ever, has established strong trader consensus around a robust but sub-$180 million second weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited immediate competition support a potential record sophomore frame, yet typical 50-60% drops for tentpoles position the under-$180 million outcome as the clear frontrunner at over 85% implied probability. Recent global milestones, including crossing $1 billion in under a week, reinforce sustained audience interest ahead of the August 9-11 frame, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters limit upside scenarios above $190 million.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volume
$17,481Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Massive domestic opening of roughly $360 million, the biggest ever, has established strong trader consensus around a robust but sub-$180 million second weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited immediate competition support a potential record sophomore frame, yet typical 50-60% drops for tentpoles position the under-$180 million outcome as the clear frontrunner at over 85% implied probability. Recent global milestones, including crossing $1 billion in under a week, reinforce sustained audience interest ahead of the August 9-11 frame, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters limit upside scenarios above $190 million.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$17,481Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Massive domestic opening of roughly $360 million, the biggest ever, has established strong trader consensus around a robust but sub-$180 million second weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited immediate competition support a potential record sophomore frame, yet typical 50-60% drops for tentpoles position the under-$180 million outcome as the clear frontrunner at over 85% implied probability. Recent global milestones, including crossing $1 billion in under a week, reinforce sustained audience interest ahead of the August 9-11 frame, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters limit upside scenarios above $190 million.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le box-office du deuxième week-end de "Spider-Man : Brand New Day" sera-t-il entre 160M et 170M ?
50%
Oui
Le total des recettes nationales pour Spider-Man : Brand New Day atteindra-t-il au moins 900 millions d'ici le 31 août ?
81%
Oui
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?
44%
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