Strong presales, record-breaking international tracking, and analyst consensus around a $260–280 million domestic opening weekend are anchoring trader sentiment for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" opening day in the $162–177 million range. The Tom Holland–Zendaya vehicle, directed by Destin Daniel Cretton and released July 31, benefits from massive global anticipation following No Way Home, with previews already delivering standout numbers and projections climbing in the final days before release. Sony’s conservative $195 million domestic estimate contrasts with bullish forecasts exceeding $300 million, reflecting broad audience appeal that counters recent superhero fatigue. Key swing factors include exact Friday performance, competition from other releases, and word-of-mouth momentum heading into the full weekend. Historical patterns for MCU tentpoles with strong female under-25 turnout and international footprints support the tightly clustered mid-range buckets as the most probable outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour"Spider-Man : Un tout nouveau jour" Box-office du jour d'ouverture (Frappes plus élevées)
"Spider-Man : Un tout nouveau jour" Box-office du jour d'ouverture (Frappes plus élevées)
167-172 M 65%
162-167m 55%
172-177m 51%
152-157m 48%
$110 Vol.
$110 Vol.
31 juil. 2026
<152m
3%
152-157m
48%
157-162 M
12%
162-167m
55%
167-172 M
65%
172-177m
51%
177-182m
11%
182M+
11%
167-172 M 65%
162-167m 55%
172-177m 51%
152-157m 48%
$110 Vol.
$110 Vol.
31 juil. 2026
<152m
$10 Vol.
3%
152-157m
$0 Vol.
48%
157-162 M
$0 Vol.
12%
162-167m
$100 Vol.
55%
167-172 M
$0 Vol.
65%
172-177m
$0 Vol.
51%
177-182m
$0 Vol.
11%
182M+
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong presales, record-breaking international tracking, and analyst consensus around a $260–280 million domestic opening weekend are anchoring trader sentiment for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" opening day in the $162–177 million range. The Tom Holland–Zendaya vehicle, directed by Destin Daniel Cretton and released July 31, benefits from massive global anticipation following No Way Home, with previews already delivering standout numbers and projections climbing in the final days before release. Sony’s conservative $195 million domestic estimate contrasts with bullish forecasts exceeding $300 million, reflecting broad audience appeal that counters recent superhero fatigue. Key swing factors include exact Friday performance, competition from other releases, and word-of-mouth momentum heading into the full weekend. Historical patterns for MCU tentpoles with strong female under-25 turnout and international footprints support the tightly clustered mid-range buckets as the most probable outcomes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Volume
$110Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong presales, record-breaking international tracking, and analyst consensus around a $260–280 million domestic opening weekend are anchoring trader sentiment for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" opening day in the $162–177 million range. The Tom Holland–Zendaya vehicle, directed by Destin Daniel Cretton and released July 31, benefits from massive global anticipation following No Way Home, with previews already delivering standout numbers and projections climbing in the final days before release. Sony’s conservative $195 million domestic estimate contrasts with bullish forecasts exceeding $300 million, reflecting broad audience appeal that counters recent superhero fatigue. Key swing factors include exact Friday performance, competition from other releases, and word-of-mouth momentum heading into the full weekend. Historical patterns for MCU tentpoles with strong female under-25 turnout and international footprints support the tightly clustered mid-range buckets as the most probable outcomes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$110Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong presales, record-breaking international tracking, and analyst consensus around a $260–280 million domestic opening weekend are anchoring trader sentiment for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" opening day in the $162–177 million range. The Tom Holland–Zendaya vehicle, directed by Destin Daniel Cretton and released July 31, benefits from massive global anticipation following No Way Home, with previews already delivering standout numbers and projections climbing in the final days before release. Sony’s conservative $195 million domestic estimate contrasts with bullish forecasts exceeding $300 million, reflecting broad audience appeal that counters recent superhero fatigue. Key swing factors include exact Friday performance, competition from other releases, and word-of-mouth momentum heading into the full weekend. Historical patterns for MCU tentpoles with strong female under-25 turnout and international footprints support the tightly clustered mid-range buckets as the most probable outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le box-office du week-end d'ouverture de « Spider-Man : Brand New Day » atteindra-t-il au moins 350 millions ?
90%
Oui
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m?
50%
Le total des recettes nationales pour Spider-Man : Brand New Day sera-t-il compris entre 800 et 900 millions d'ici le 31 août ?
41%
Oui
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